The perplexity of the longwave weather pattern is taking on characteristics of an early January thaw! Normally, the January thaw (during an average winter) occurs around the week of January 20th. But there was a stratospheric cooling event, MUCH unlike stratospheric warming, this process contracts the Polar Vortex (PV), and encourages a stronger / consolidated Polar Vortex (PV). With that being said, the consolidation of the PV enhances the westerlies with moderating temperatures to above to well above normal and chances of rain 🌧 , due to systems tracking to our west, through this week. However, another stratospheric warming event is starting to take place, that will again weaken, beat-up, and split or stretch the strong consolidated Polar Vortex (PV), and will begin to have an influence on the overall longwave weather pattern January 13th-18th. Exactly how this process evolves, holds the key to an established longwave weather pattern and it's effects for the rest of winter, but only after we lose most of our snowpack throughout New England this week! Forecaster: Daniel Viens, establishing author of New England NAO.
