tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-59315241740818890432024-03-16T08:29:57.562-04:00New England NAO<center><i>New England & The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)</i><b>☆ Dedicated To Understanding <i>New England's</i> Climate!</b></center>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.comBlogger26125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-6396287766805464942023-12-21T13:42:00.011-05:002023-12-21T13:55:48.076-05:00SEVERE-WEATHER.EU - A GREAT READ ON THE OVERALL DEVELOPING WINTER WEATHER PATTERN<p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtsB2yAkTpo_zwVUaG5BODcujyK5QjBps1fjjbVuYLMRoJvr531yVgDf9x1YdZsH-mb1Zjlq0zzsoIyGrLfG0t8Vl2HnVrMqonmTtGUMn4iM5McR71u4lIyPphMmrztTYEnuBCz6rqm2ulJxcDaVRB2VDWTZo7SZ_tuZFVHbrhc-JrwiXpcNmzNsxYMpk/s1200/polar-vortex-north-hemisphere-winter-2024-forecast-united-states-canada-stratospheric-warming-brings-cold-weather-pressure-anomaly.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="675" data-original-width="1200" height="180" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtsB2yAkTpo_zwVUaG5BODcujyK5QjBps1fjjbVuYLMRoJvr531yVgDf9x1YdZsH-mb1Zjlq0zzsoIyGrLfG0t8Vl2HnVrMqonmTtGUMn4iM5McR71u4lIyPphMmrztTYEnuBCz6rqm2ulJxcDaVRB2VDWTZo7SZ_tuZFVHbrhc-JrwiXpcNmzNsxYMpk/s320/polar-vortex-north-hemisphere-winter-2024-forecast-united-states-canada-stratospheric-warming-brings-cold-weather-pressure-anomaly.png" width="320" /></a></div><br /> <a href="https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/early-stratospheric-warming-forecast-polar-vortex-event-cold-united-states-january-2024-fa/" target="_blank">https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/early-stratospheric-warming-forecast-polar-vortex-event-cold-united-states-january-2024-fa/</a><p></p>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-84435337250714638342023-11-27T21:10:00.004-05:002023-11-27T21:15:30.592-05:00A RECOMMENDATION TO THE HEARTY NEW ENGLANDERS <p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhWw2PWKDBzTBzRh0f526_YVPDb7xzo0Hl7NvllYPi60dMCAdTWEKzZv9kAXB-NVJbDsPJ64KNAdRtmJuQrc3RuljoX95aTIVcx4RaCLtkfRAZm5pbPjbywxPJUq52C96BnNevWpyAfsedc4pHloJithsGX1spanRw0SMFG8GDb3ZXa4xZj33LXt48Ca5w/s1080/20231124_184010.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="865" data-original-width="1080" height="256" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhWw2PWKDBzTBzRh0f526_YVPDb7xzo0Hl7NvllYPi60dMCAdTWEKzZv9kAXB-NVJbDsPJ64KNAdRtmJuQrc3RuljoX95aTIVcx4RaCLtkfRAZm5pbPjbywxPJUq52C96BnNevWpyAfsedc4pHloJithsGX1spanRw0SMFG8GDb3ZXa4xZj33LXt48Ca5w/s320/20231124_184010.jpg" width="320" /></a></div><br /> For those hearty New Englanders, with a deep interest in the upcoming 2023/24 Winter Season, I strongly encourage you to listen to WeatherBELL's <a href="https://www.weatherbell.com/video/the-satirday-summary-1?full" style="font-weight: bold;" target="_blank">Joe Bastardi's Saturday Summary </a><b>. </b>This forecaster highly recommends for anyone interested in extended & long range thoughts. Daniel Viens<b> </b><p></p>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-30467024963221846642023-10-08T04:12:00.008-04:002024-03-13T13:42:47.232-04:00HOPE & PRAYERS FOR GEORGE TROTTIER<p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><blockquote><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhVLvnGEANXoi0K4elq9aZ5PLJLPsSuVVU4m-KJIE29jwToqczBFtR8dvJE6rwMR9bCzqmNUfjh3dFHp__xEzN9vd3YNYR_hQU5MN2cImW5ykLF5uOb8n6kcCMXP39_KVaAwl4LSDOPgaCNHTqTXFxGNlifWuOiWEVVUWsu5b2z0U5hr6TIJjq8MiJ9S3M/s566/1696714932666_imageedit_7_5974606876.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="566" data-original-width="418" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhVLvnGEANXoi0K4elq9aZ5PLJLPsSuVVU4m-KJIE29jwToqczBFtR8dvJE6rwMR9bCzqmNUfjh3dFHp__xEzN9vd3YNYR_hQU5MN2cImW5ykLF5uOb8n6kcCMXP39_KVaAwl4LSDOPgaCNHTqTXFxGNlifWuOiWEVVUWsu5b2z0U5hr6TIJjq8MiJ9S3M/s320/1696714932666_imageedit_7_5974606876.png" width="236" /></a></blockquote></div><br /> I post with a heavy ❤ that <a href="https://www.blogger.com/profile/18396476166715986358">George Trottier</a>, my best friend and incentive to the establishment of this New England themed weather website, has peacefully passed on October 8, 2023. I HOPE and pray he passed peacefully, to his eternal home. Love, Danny <p></p>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-63376679536262237992023-02-04T19:50:00.009-05:002023-04-27T21:58:32.163-04:00MAINTAINING THE SITE<p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEirwYC7-84OokDqZ33cSeQ6Wm_Pdon-UadBaXJomsL6Iyab9nqmplPsUV2BVZNkF_S45OfOm6oEJk16esc7Rf-nxjg_HOMjykSdbLXnvo5Qmu5tzYV1V0mrBtJWlPUuE8qyHcbT3DwBlnKVfy3WpCFboKZj06HLHJOxKgSSIpMvH9XTwmTa5lV-OXZk/s342/20201121_184723.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="122" data-original-width="342" height="114" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEirwYC7-84OokDqZ33cSeQ6Wm_Pdon-UadBaXJomsL6Iyab9nqmplPsUV2BVZNkF_S45OfOm6oEJk16esc7Rf-nxjg_HOMjykSdbLXnvo5Qmu5tzYV1V0mrBtJWlPUuE8qyHcbT3DwBlnKVfy3WpCFboKZj06HLHJOxKgSSIpMvH9XTwmTa5lV-OXZk/s320/20201121_184723.jpg" width="320" /></a></div><br /><br /></div> Due to a MAJOR health related set-back I am going to do my best to keep this established New England themed weather website online. I HOPE to return posting at-some-point on this blog, once I can truly focus on producing quality posts in my heart! Please access the links on this site and/or John Hockridge / New England Weather Associates, which I feel is quality weather related information, found on the websites linked. Thank you for understanding. Daniel Viens, establishing author of New England NAO.<p></p>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-79103251536644567912020-11-24T13:11:00.010-05:002020-12-03T20:14:10.742-05:00SNOWFALL DATA TRENDS<center><i>Facebook timeline-post (2018)</i></center><div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjK_6FdkJpYVCM5FnazzcHUCl0RpYb2AQVcxWTFNHDfOZ5FO3ZG5GIU7R-U_76K0AvKjVdjur0RcTAHw5zpL1_SRdk2fmhRyjl428dbmw4qYkewIgHlEDV4QZnHX4IAZutA44d1BZ0KONg/s1029/FB_IMG_1606240807873.jpg" style="display: block; padding: 1em 0px; text-align: center;"><img border="0" data-original-height="582" data-original-width="1029" height="181" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjK_6FdkJpYVCM5FnazzcHUCl0RpYb2AQVcxWTFNHDfOZ5FO3ZG5GIU7R-U_76K0AvKjVdjur0RcTAHw5zpL1_SRdk2fmhRyjl428dbmw4qYkewIgHlEDV4QZnHX4IAZutA44d1BZ0KONg/w320-h181/FB_IMG_1606240807873.jpg" width="320" /></a><div style="text-align: center;"><span style="background-color: #05051a; color: #c7cacc;"><b>Attached is Snowfall Data for North Adams, MA. </b>Official records maintained by John Hockridge, Meteorologist / owner; New England Weather Associates. The data opens with the 1974/75 Winter season (NEWA was established in 1974), and what is clearly seen on the graph overall is that average annual snowfall has indeed been increasing in North Adams since the 1992/93 Winter season (Blizzard of '93). While there have been some winters with below to well below average snowfall in North Adams post 1992/93 season, the overall trend has favored slightly above normal annual snowfall (as seen on the graph). Forecaster: Daniel Viens, establishing author of New England NAO.</span></div></div>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-4328889704944390352020-11-22T02:11:00.010-05:002020-12-05T19:31:42.975-05:00CURRENT NAO & NE 2020<p><i></i></p><center><i>(Facebook timeline-post) </i></center><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><i><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhIWOukUfB_kGGhe7WTGRJaQVmOS2IR-sRd3q0dB5uMcw7Hoy7hwCGxI9zn0zGZj_ngI9aXnH2KMOKNrXWBr7i0MZWExkB33_eZXBJAC51FcXYrutyXM2GXkMOz_whMzc7s3eW2b45hJ-s/s1080/20201122_001942.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="222" data-original-width="1080" height="133" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhIWOukUfB_kGGhe7WTGRJaQVmOS2IR-sRd3q0dB5uMcw7Hoy7hwCGxI9zn0zGZj_ngI9aXnH2KMOKNrXWBr7i0MZWExkB33_eZXBJAC51FcXYrutyXM2GXkMOz_whMzc7s3eW2b45hJ-s/w640-h133/20201122_001942.jpg" width="640" /></a></i></div><br /><span style="background-color: #05051a;"><b>Currently, what has nature taught us this year?</b> Looking at the light red shaded chart, credit: NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC), of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Monthly mean-average; reveals that the mildest weather conditions in New England, temperatures above to well above normal prevailed during January through March 2020, when the NAO was consistently positive or averaged a monthly mean above 1.00 (Standard Deviation), as indicated on-the-chart (black circles). Since April 2020, the NAO has undergone a complete reversal, that has promoted below to well below normal temperatures at-times. Most notably, the consistency of the NAO since the significant pattern reversal in April, will be a very important 'wild' card during the upcoming 2020/21 Winter Season. What is the NAO telling us? <b>The support is overwhelming for New England to experience above to well above normal snowfall during the 2020/21 Winter Season due to overall 'negative' trends of the NAO since April... that strongly favor a colder / stormy weather pattern. The NAO is especially supported by the current state of the Sun; exiting-the-dead of a solar minimum! </b>Forecaster: Daniel Viens, establishing author of New England NAO. (* NOTE: This is also 'consistent' with the NAO historically, as noted from my previous post on October 25, 2020.)<br /><br /> <b>A great question!:</b> BOSTON had an all time record snowfall of 108.6" during the 2014/15 Winter Season. Average winter season snowfall in BOSTON is around 48.0"; and 2014/15 Winter Season... 60.6" above normal snowfall in BOSTON! Ironically, the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) wasn't in a noted 'negative' phase during *2014/15; which is usually a very important climate driver for New England to experience above to well above normal snowfall. *2014/15 was an extreme outlier due to strong High pressure ridge over western North America. When you state global warming... this research is out to make viewers aware, IF my overall thoughts are truly realized, that the climate is largely driven by natural & cyclical factors... starting with the Sun. The Sun is currently exiting-the-dead of a solar minimum which strongly favors the NAO to be observed in it's 'negative' phase during the 2020/21 Winter Season. Based on past analogs, 2010/11 & 2000/01, when the Sun was also exiting-the-dead of a solar minimum, BOSTON had around 30.0" above normal snowfall but the hills of western and parts of northern New England had around 50.0" to 60.0" above normal snowfall. Forecaster: Daniel Viens, establishing author of New England NAO. (Picture of Mt. Greylock War Memorial Tower taken by me in early December 2012, on a pre-winter hike to the summit.)</span><br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjJsYXt0PXehIDd4samAaCyJD64yDv3jTplFY949gfaBnFcZKCCR9DcSCI6Izaazfp0t4L8N-XR-k9duCnmLKhE-NUXit2pYprXgT3TshqIpl0kHgrWWX2KZmtso0kemsFX4FZxTrKA1zw/s692/20201122_124313.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="692" data-original-width="584" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjJsYXt0PXehIDd4samAaCyJD64yDv3jTplFY949gfaBnFcZKCCR9DcSCI6Izaazfp0t4L8N-XR-k9duCnmLKhE-NUXit2pYprXgT3TshqIpl0kHgrWWX2KZmtso0kemsFX4FZxTrKA1zw/s320/20201122_124313.jpg" /></a></div><br /><p></p>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-74160515469218856002020-10-25T22:09:00.019-04:002020-11-25T14:46:46.960-05:00HISTORIC NAO & NE 2020<p><i>(Facebook timeline-post)</i></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEio4RmdCJCXoxEtbs3ehPb_Hipu5UyPXUlwKY9YzsU80MrPglLx_8np-Q0B24FbLpRgO7xwsSE9mdyhxaL27fPdItqMPSbsOdxdskgvscOP-_UWh8zxCFEwiNTmEpgnlBwzksv0eAo6Ny0/s2048/20200509_183108.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1260" data-original-width="2048" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEio4RmdCJCXoxEtbs3ehPb_Hipu5UyPXUlwKY9YzsU80MrPglLx_8np-Q0B24FbLpRgO7xwsSE9mdyhxaL27fPdItqMPSbsOdxdskgvscOP-_UWh8zxCFEwiNTmEpgnlBwzksv0eAo6Ny0/s320/20200509_183108.jpg" width="320" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><span style="background-color: #05051a;"> This picture was taken by me May 9, 2020 at Whitcomb Hill Summit, Mohawk Trail - Route 2 Florida, MA., during an amplified winter-like weather pattern known as the negative phase of the <b>North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)</b>. This pattern prevailed for much of May 2020. The negative NAO is a high latitude block of atmospheric pressure that becomes established around southern Greenland in the North Atlantic; that blocks the jet-stream (upper-air flow) from moving straight west-to-east, sending air of polar origin into the eastern U.S. (northeastern U.S. / New England), along with increased potential of coastal storms... 'Nor'easters'. Historically, the average phase of the NAO <b>during the month of May, is a direct correlation to the average phase of the NAO observed during the upcoming winter season</b>. Forecaster: Daniel Viens, establishing author of New England NAO.</span><p></p>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-2550579635336125712020-10-09T15:37:00.012-04:002020-11-25T14:47:49.763-05:00UNDERSTANDING OUR SUN<p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="text-align: left;"><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgiem-hZn6wMu4rcGGgzv0gAmHScF7sGTu343L67zVrDZ1XyhlIqJCc6p-kHqnuAydkRYZgOC6kJxTW95KnR2LwSg5y1tqG26YL23uJ2eeG7QD9QLaRmWgxW182ZwnTOarqrjgUWPpXXYQ/s1280/Hathaway_Cycle_24_Prediction.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="960" data-original-width="1280" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgiem-hZn6wMu4rcGGgzv0gAmHScF7sGTu343L67zVrDZ1XyhlIqJCc6p-kHqnuAydkRYZgOC6kJxTW95KnR2LwSg5y1tqG26YL23uJ2eeG7QD9QLaRmWgxW182ZwnTOarqrjgUWPpXXYQ/s320/Hathaway_Cycle_24_Prediction.jpg" width="320" /></a></div><br /><i>(Facebook timeline-post)</i><br /><span style="background-color: #05051a;"> Look at the 📊 (graph of the Sun) where I marked '22', Solar Cycle 22 was the MOST active in-terms of overall sunspot activity since the 1950's (* likely a longer period-of-time / cycle than dating back to the 1950's). During the peak of Solar Cycle 22, 1988 - 1992, the term Nor'easter all but became extinct in New England. Now, let's look at what actually happened during the winters from 1988 - 1992 in North Adams, during the peak of the MOST active solar cycle (22) since the *1950's.</span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgryq_65ugzJ99SVx78IdGrK5UbC-8QfRaOVJmZOZYwg3y89hVGnJOH5RUxbccDRrogqV5MznkXKTdGBWr_lFenhdOuAJvybl4CMYnZlQHrtgGpgUC3xySKgBd77jrowKpYEJwBXAwJows/s1216/20201008_131530.jpg" style="background-color: #05051a; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1216" data-original-width="876" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgryq_65ugzJ99SVx78IdGrK5UbC-8QfRaOVJmZOZYwg3y89hVGnJOH5RUxbccDRrogqV5MznkXKTdGBWr_lFenhdOuAJvybl4CMYnZlQHrtgGpgUC3xySKgBd77jrowKpYEJwBXAwJows/s320/20201008_131530.jpg" /></a></div><span style="background-color: #05051a;"><br /> From 1988 - 1992 (* indicated by red circle on posted snowfall chart)... there were four (4) winters in-a-row with below normal snowfall in North Adams. With the exception of 1989/90; three (3) of these winters experienced well below normal snowfall. This period is the longest duration of back-to-back winters with below to well below normal snowfall since the *1950's. * Average winter season snowfall in North Adams, MA. is 78.1". * To be clear the average of those four (4) winters (1988 - 1992) combined is 44.8" snowfall, which is the lowest 4-year average snowfall in North Adams, at-least dating back to 1974.</span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8OPhENqm3MbthIS4DEKLzjVFDebH3KWGyy-G2qt4gFg3ApbRktpEBZoWkMwMQiBT-z2NMtZmSPEjpQk-Lb1r9owoa7pYfh7JFCtuDfwZRPmk0jO9nTpOAunzkAcqBa5txpU1LYEHQANM/s921/20201008_172030.jpg" style="background-color: #05051a; margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="154" data-original-width="921" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8OPhENqm3MbthIS4DEKLzjVFDebH3KWGyy-G2qt4gFg3ApbRktpEBZoWkMwMQiBT-z2NMtZmSPEjpQk-Lb1r9owoa7pYfh7JFCtuDfwZRPmk0jO9nTpOAunzkAcqBa5txpU1LYEHQANM/s320/20201008_172030.jpg" width="320" /></a></div><span style="background-color: #05051a;"><br /> <b>CONCLUSION</b>: MUCH unlike the highly active Sun during the peak of Solar Cycle 22 from 1988 - 1992; Solar Cycle 23, and especially the current decaying Solar Cycle 24... has trended MUCH weaker. As-a-result, both the Winters of 2010/11 & 2000/01, that were exiting-the-dead of a solar minimum, were truly realized through stronger support for sustained high latitude atmospheric blocking. This allowed for well above normal snowfall in North Adams during 2010/11 & 2000/01. <b>We are now exiting-the-dead of a solar minimum again, and as we exit the overall very weak, decaying Solar Cycle 24... nature is perfectly aligned to repeat it's course experienced 10 & 20-years-ago, with above to well above normal snowfall in New England, during the upcoming Winter Season 2020/21.</b> Forecaster: Daniel Viens, establishing author of New England NAO.</span></span></div><br /> <p></p>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-35864698637438453452020-09-19T18:59:00.032-04:002020-11-25T14:49:14.253-05:002020/21 WINTER SEASON<p><i>(Facebook timeline-post)</i></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjP8csFZ_BnQO-vbtXRYgW-oGVpt_MrYe6LtuKZcB5P9PoLn6zvapDGnhWoRQ9D-Zlyw5xhb4Aqd26-cnVtRisrqQejk5VCmvp9oIcONhq-sJe1mk6NgE8D6CLWxU1l4QEUgAZS8UTOCVA/s758/Solar_Cycle_Progression_November_4_2013.gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="590" data-original-width="758" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjP8csFZ_BnQO-vbtXRYgW-oGVpt_MrYe6LtuKZcB5P9PoLn6zvapDGnhWoRQ9D-Zlyw5xhb4Aqd26-cnVtRisrqQejk5VCmvp9oIcONhq-sJe1mk6NgE8D6CLWxU1l4QEUgAZS8UTOCVA/s320/Solar_Cycle_Progression_November_4_2013.gif" width="320" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><span style="background-color: #05051a;">To think I am posting about another upcoming winter season, despite being terribly wrong during the 2019/20 Winter Season & especially the 2015/16 Winter Season. But I am NOT God and only do weather outlooks for the New England region as an intense hobby. Besides, each winter season further humbles me, especially during times of inaccuracies, and I continue to learn. We turn the page to the upcoming 2020/21 Winter Season! But what have I learned NOT to repeat the same inaccuracies? I have learned that the 'Sun' or 9-11 year sunspot cycle needs to be carefully weighted in-respect to where we currently are in-the-cycle. For example, the sunspot cycle holds most weight concerning long-range outlooks when the <b>Sun</b> is <b>at-the-dead</b> but <b>especially exiting-the-dead of a solar minimum</b>. The strongest signal following the solar cycle is when the Sun is exiting-the-dead of a solar minimum <b>due to strong presentation of atmospheric high latitude <i>blocking</i></b>... like the upcoming 2020/21 Winter Season. The solar cycle averages out to be exactly 10.66 years. This means that the Winter Seasons of 2010/11 & 2000/01; were also exiting-the-dead of a solar minimum. The trend is very clear what happened 10-years & 20-years ago during the noted winters, following this averaged 10-year cycle. Both winters experienced snowfall well above normal in North Adams, 50"-60" above normal snowfall (average season snowfall in North Adams, MA. is 78.1"), along with slightly below normal temperatures. We reviewed 2000/01 & 2010/11... dating back to 1974, 2000/01 was the snowiest winter & 2010/11 was the third snowiest winter in North Adams. Now, the 10-year anniversary is approaching, and yes, like the noted winter seasons the Sun is indeed exiting-the-dead of a solar minimum during 2020/21! Simply stated: strongly considering the noted factors there is greater than a 50% chance of above to well above normal snowfall and seasonal to slightly below normal temperatures in New England during the upcoming 2020/21 Winter Season. Forecaster: Daniel Viens, establishing author of New England NAO.</span> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHKHUv7ykM2qGEgTZFTWGi1MPqUngtcjnE6P-DiKYk1l4UyEZWV_yZBbGMN2AMFk417zkSAAyey4TDbTNnKKb4fi8uORYj4NTUjFiKLg_xAHJB4fKkY1t8clXAMbGjyfDwfn33wmA-5N8/s1080/20200919_001231.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="624" data-original-width="1080" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHKHUv7ykM2qGEgTZFTWGi1MPqUngtcjnE6P-DiKYk1l4UyEZWV_yZBbGMN2AMFk417zkSAAyey4TDbTNnKKb4fi8uORYj4NTUjFiKLg_xAHJB4fKkY1t8clXAMbGjyfDwfn33wmA-5N8/s320/20200919_001231.jpg" width="320" /></a></div><br /><center><br /><p></p></center>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-66110430312561836472020-01-09T15:20:00.008-05:002020-11-25T17:46:12.818-05:002019/20 WINTER SEASON: DELAYED BUT NOT DENIED!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg53gMDdOZ1s-TiKh-ATyR1otEIgqFezGO5bCjF9QIM1QF2ewQM03McrcHjgx4TrTvjLKuLrMusgmmk9OWzYeE96uO-DOMEXMJ7JicVZS17GdgR-dOgsBt1t65w6cgiWglG704zeAmHlh8/s141/Entering_Est._1620_New_England_II_standard_II_b.gif" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="116" data-original-width="141" height="329" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg53gMDdOZ1s-TiKh-ATyR1otEIgqFezGO5bCjF9QIM1QF2ewQM03McrcHjgx4TrTvjLKuLrMusgmmk9OWzYeE96uO-DOMEXMJ7JicVZS17GdgR-dOgsBt1t65w6cgiWglG704zeAmHlh8/w400-h329/Entering_Est._1620_New_England_II_standard_II_b.gif" width="400" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><i>
(Facebook timeline-post)</i><br /><span style="background-color: #05051a;">
On November 30, 2019; I posted about the upcoming 2019/20 Winter Season; and while the anticipated pull back or mild spell is more prolonged than what I was originally thinking, I did close my post on November 30th stating: *** These highly amplified November patterns historically feature a pull back during much of December, before completely becoming established around Christmas or early January. *** As of January 9, 2020 temperatures across the Northeast / New England have been averaging above to well above normal, especially since the beginning of-the-month. But MUCH unlike the recent mild absent winters of 2001/02, 2011/12, & 2015/16; the Sun is completely reverse, NOT highly active in-terms of sunspot activity on the solar disk as was 2001/02 & 2011/12, and there is NO strong El Nino influencing Pacific basin-wide Sea Surface Temperatures (SST's) as was 2015/16. Both stated factors played a significant role in the complete absence of winter during the above stated years. However, the <b>2019/20 Winter Season is definitely delayed but NOT denied</b>. The reason for the extended mild spell since mid-to-late December; is due to a strongly consolidated Polar Vortex (PV) over high northern latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. The strong Polar Vortex (PV) keeps bonafide arctic air up over northern Canada / Alaska; where the core of winter has been truly experienced. As-a-result, mid-latitudes experience an enhanced west-to-east flow of the jet-stream with a mild Pacific influenced air mass and transient or short-lived shots of cold. Many winter seasons experienced this pattern building-up to a complete longwave weather pattern change that resulted in a highly memorable second half-of-winter. <b>The winters that are very similar to this year in-respect to the Sun & overall longwave global weather pattern </b>(MUCH unlike the complete absent winters stated above)<b> are 2002/03, 2006/07, 2009/10, & 2014/15 - ALL noted winters experienced above to well above normal temperatures during mid-to-late December through early January before a complete longwave pattern CHANGE; that brought winter in with-a-punch in late January, but especially February & March!</b> <br />
Forecaster: Daniel Viens, establishing author of New England NAO.</span><br />
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<b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhqx2vJStdLhUme40KRAI_Zv5_2rcPSUBiljaqZpPIAyrEAZfG_nTWQjtuPh-Gr_-82Ih4kuUhgPhVx3pcOcZK9s50FrZpeWGfFhY-0W7aaNNTimb5DWAuHU9wV_eBAUsQl7KNI_lUnTcM/s1600/20200111_130833.jpg"><img border="0" data-original-height="1210" data-original-width="1080" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhqx2vJStdLhUme40KRAI_Zv5_2rcPSUBiljaqZpPIAyrEAZfG_nTWQjtuPh-Gr_-82Ih4kuUhgPhVx3pcOcZK9s50FrZpeWGfFhY-0W7aaNNTimb5DWAuHU9wV_eBAUsQl7KNI_lUnTcM/s640/20200111_130833.jpg" width="571" /></a><br />Also viewable on the New England NAO <a href="https://m.facebook.com/newengland.nao2">Facebook</a> Page</b></div>
New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-54994191018804582362019-11-30T00:18:00.005-05:002020-11-25T14:57:23.894-05:00WINTER SEASON 2019/20: DEAD OF SOLAR MINIMUM<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span style="background-color: black; color: white;"><span class="dailySunCaptionText" face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="font-size: 12px; text-align: -webkit-left;">The sun is blank--no sunspots. Credit: SDO/HMI</span><span style="font-size: small; text-align: -webkit-left;"></span></span><br />
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<span style="background-color: black; color: white;"><span class="solarWindText" face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="font-size: 15px;"><b>Sunspot number: 0</b></span><br /><span class="solarWindExplanationText" face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="font-size: 13px;"><a href="https://spaceweather.com/glossary/sunspotnumber.html">What is the sunspot number?</a> </span><span class="solarWindUpdatedText" face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="font-size: 13px; font-weight: bold;">Updated 30 Nov 2019 </span><span class="solarWindText" face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="font-size: 15px;"><br /><b>Spotless Days </b>Current Stretch: 17 days<br />2019 total: 253 days (76%)<br />2018 total: 221 days (61%)<br />2017 total: 104 days (28%)<br />2016 total: 32 days (9%)<br />2015 total: 0 days (0%)<br />2014 total: 1 day (<1 br="">2013 total: 0 days (0%)<br />2012 total: 0 days (0%)<br />2011 total: 2 days (<1 br="">2010 total: 51 days (14%)<br />2009 total: 260 days (71%)<br />2008 total: 268 days (73%)<br />2007 total: 152 days (42%)<br />2006 total: 70 days (19%)</1></1></span><span class="solarWindUpdatedText" face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="font-size: 13px; font-weight: bold;"><br />Updated 30 Nov 2019</span></span></div>
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<span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="font-size: large;">Originally prepared: November 4, 2019 (Facebook timeline-post) <br /><span style="background-color: #05051a;"> It's very important to NOTE that the <b>Sun</b> will be <b>at-the-dead of a solar minimum for the 2019/20 Winter Season and exiting-the-dead of a solar minimum during the 2020/21 Winter Season</b>! Much unlike my terrible inaccuracy during the 2015/16 Winter Season; <b>the strongest signal for a moderate to strong potential of an old fashion winter in New England, following the 9-11 year sunspot 'Schwabe' cycle, is this upcoming winter season and 2020/21</b>. The blank Sun or complete absence of sunspots is directly related to a highly amplified jet-stream / longwave weather pattern over Mid-Latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere due to strong atmospheric High Latitude Blocking. However, it's also very important to note what side of the highly amplified jet-stream you'll be on, and Sea Surface Temperatures (SST's) are critical to determining this factor. The Great Lakes Region & Northeast / New England are strongly favored to experience the extreme wintery side of this highly amplified longwave weather pattern due to above to well above normal SST's in the Gulf of Alaska & below to well below normal SST's off the west coast of South America. *** These highly amplified November patterns historically feature a pull back during much of December, before completely becoming established around Christmas or early January. The 2015/16 Winter Season was a terrible inaccuracy for me personally, since the establishment of my website. What happened is that the winter season (2015/16) was entering a solar minimum BUT NOT yet truly there until 2016; concerning spotless days on the solar disk, making for a much weaker signal following the sunspot cycle, especially considering there were 0 spotless days (on the solar disk) in 2015. As-a-result; the strong El Nino that developed was the driving force that particular season. ***</span></span>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-70272761934934102702015-11-25T14:30:00.004-05:002020-11-25T15:20:55.543-05:00WINTER SEASON 2015/16: ENTERING SOLAR MINIMUM<div style="font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 19.32px; margin-bottom: 6px; margin-top: 6px;">
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: white;">The emerging sleep of-the-Sun, with only three (3) identified sunspots visible on the solar disk as of </span></span><br />
<span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: white;">November 25, 2015. </span></span></td></tr>
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<span style="background-color: black;"><span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="background-color: black; color: #c7cacc; line-height: 19.32px;">Originally prepared: November 23, 2015 (Facebook timeline-post) </span></span></span></div>
<span style="color: #c7cacc;"><span style="background-color: #05051a;"><span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"><span><span><span>I would like to talk about </span></span></span><span style="line-height: 19.32px;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>El </span></span><span style="font-family: "arial"; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>Niño</span></span><span style="font-size: 14px;"><span face=""helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif">, that has made significant headlines in the media. </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "times new roman"; font-size: small; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span><em style="font-family: "Times New Roman";"><span><em style="font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span><i style="font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>El </span></i><em style="font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>Niño</span></em> </span></em><span>"The Boy"</span></span></em></span></span></span></span></span><span style="line-height: 19.32px;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">,</span><span face=""helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif"> </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">which is an unusual warming of Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies, is NOT basin wide through the equatorial Pacific Ocean. In fact close observation shows there is NO comparison to the 1997/98 super </span></span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="line-height: 19.32px;"><span style="font-family: "arial"; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>El </span></span><span style="font-family: "arial"; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>Niño</span></span>, as this particular event is *Central-to-West-based and NOT basin wide or East-based. This means the warming of SST anomalies over the Pacific is concentrated from the International Dateline, points east to the *Central / North American continent.</span><br />
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<span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="background-color: #05051a; color: #c7cacc;">A *Central-to-West-based <span style="font-family: "arial"; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>El </span></span><span style="font-family: "arial"; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>Niño</span></span> will in-fact encourage an energized sub-tropical jet-stream but ridging (above normal heights) over western North America due to the area of above normal SST's concentrated through the eastern Pacific, that will tend to encourage troughing (below normal heights) over eastern North America.</span></span></div>
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<span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="background-color: #05051a; color: #c7cacc;">What is the foundation of the 2015/16 Winter season?</span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: #05051a; color: #c7cacc;"><span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"><b style="font-size: 14px;"><i>1.</i></b> </span></span><b style="font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; line-height: 19.32px;"><i style="font-family: Arial; font-size: medium; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>Solar Minimum / High Latitude Blocking </span></i></b><span style="font-size: 14px;">- it's very important to consider that we are now entering a solar minimum following the 9-11 year sunspot cycle. The Sun has been averaging 20 daily events or less (in-terms of sunspot activity on the solar disk) since November 7, 2014, and is currently at 15 daily events as of November 20, 2015. Through the majority of absent New England Winter's of the 1990's, the Sun was averaging 40-100 daily events, * sending a moderate to high frequency of ultraviolet (UV) rays at-the-Earth. The higher frequency of ultraviolet (UV) rays acts to deplete ozone and in-return allows for pronounced cooling of the pole's stratosphere, with the Polar Vortex (PV) almost never splitting to influence middle latitudes of-the-Earth. Strongly taking into consideration current solar activity, lends hand to the highly cyclical 9-11 year </span><i style="font-size: 14px;">(Schwabe)</i><span style="font-size: 14px;"> sunspot </span><i style="font-size: 14px;">cycle</i><span style="font-size: 14px;">, that we are indeed entering a solar minimum. The emerging sleep of-the-Sun will soon encourage pronounced warming of the pole's stratosphere due to increased ozone, * as this warming pushes down through the * stratosphere and troposphere, the PV will in-turn react and SPLIT, the pole will moderate. As the split PV drops south in-latitude, a reaction-to-action, ejecting the </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span><span style="font-family: "arial"; line-height: normal;">Arctic Oscillation (AO) </span><span face=""helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif"><span style="font-size: 14px; line-height: 19.32px;">/ </span></span></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial"; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)<i> </i></span></span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="line-height: 19.32px;">into a pronounced negative phase. This will be the said driver of the 500-millibar Height Pattern over the Northern Hemisphere during the coming 2015/16 Winter season, NOT </span><span style="font-family: "arial"; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>El </span></span><span style="font-family: "arial"; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>Niño</span></span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="line-height: 19.32px;">.</span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: #05051a; color: #c7cacc;"><span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"><b style="font-size: 14px;"><i>2. </i></b></span></span><b style="font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif; line-height: 19.32px;"><i style="font-family: Arial; font-size: medium; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>El Niño </span></i></b><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="line-height: 19.32px;">- the above said factors will tend to encourage an unusually stronger than normal or *enhanced* sub-tropical jet-stream, that will as-a-result of location, be a high moisture source to interact with the Polar jet-stream. This will be, an enhancer, encouraging a moderate to strong probability of <i>Nor'easters</i></span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="line-height: 19.32px;">.</span></span></div>
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<span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="background-color: #05051a; color: #c7cacc;">When will this change influence New England?</span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: #05051a; color: #c7cacc;"><span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">While we have experienced a gradual step-down since mid November, there are key signals that will indicate <i>CHANGE</i>. </span></span><br />
<span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">A strong low pressure system tracking through the eastern Great Lakes region, producing rainfall in New England, around the week of November 29th may be the mechanism that encourages a significant pattern change. </span></span><br />
<span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">Therefore, December 5-12th is the time period of high volatility.</span></span></span></div>
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<span style="line-height: 19.32px;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">* Corrected information on sudden stratospheric warming & the current state of <span style="font-family: "arial"; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>El </span></span><span style="font-family: "arial"; line-height: normal; text-align: center;"><span>Niño</span></span>.</span></span></span><br />
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New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-81760543472296664972015-02-11T19:27:00.006-05:002021-02-03T23:16:26.730-05:009-11 YEAR SUNSPOT CYCLE PROVES THREATENING FOR NEW ENGLAND NE!<div class="_5pbx userContent" data-ft="{"tn":"K"}" style="font-family: Helvetica, Arial, "lucida grande", tahoma, verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 1.38; overflow: hidden;">
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<span style="color: #c7cacc;"><span style="background-color: black; line-height: 19.32px;">Originally prepared: February 10, 2015 (Facebook timeline-post) </span><br />
<span style="background-color: #05051a;"><span style="line-height: 19.32px;">The 2014/15 season is-the-true beginning of-a-cycle... supporting the RETURN OF classic OLD-FASHIONED-WINTER's in NEW ENGLAND! On January 14, 2015, I had posted that all-the-elements would (have the-potential-to) come together... with the return of the old fashioned New England winter, as experienced through most-of-the 1950's, 1960's, & 70's. As we realized the "cold", but had yet to observe a true snowstorm (Nor'easter). Since-that-post, </span><span style="line-height: 19.32px;">Boston has recorded it's snowiest 7-</span><span class="text_exposed_show" style="display: inline; line-height: 19.32px;">day period in-history (during late January 2015), </span><span style="line-height: 1.38;">and Hartford, CT. is presently averaging around 8-10°F below normal for the month-of-February. While there are various forms of long range weather guidance, such as NOAA's CFS forecast model... nature itself has already provided us with strong clues. These clues rest with understanding of-the-Sun's 9-11 year sunspot cycle, known as the Schwabe Cycle, which averages to be exactly 10.66 years. Sunspots are temporary dark spots located on the photosphere of-the-Sun, that significantly reduces the temperature within the darkened spot, in-contrast to the outer surrounding of the solar disk. However, the influences go-far-beyond the solar disk through the release of ultraviolet (UV) rays. UV rays (due to highly active "charged" sunspots) fall back on-the-Earth, which has a direct poleward effect. The higher frequency of UV rays acts to "cool" the pole's stratosphere, as the Polar Vortex (PV) remains over-the-Arctic... thus NOT SPLITTING, dropping south, to influence middle latitudes of-the-Earth. During the period of a Solar Maximum, is when this activity peaks... the Winter of 2011/12 was a Solar Maximum. However, we are now heading toward a Solar Minimum (the five-year-period between a solar maximum), which allows for a reverse effect... due to virtually no sunspot activity on the solar disk. In return, the pole's stratosphere "warms", encouraging "Blocking High Pressure" in northern latitudes as the Polar Vortex (PV) SPLITS, becoming significantly displaced from the pole as it drops south in-latitude (*has occurred during this 2014/15 Winter season). Of extreme interest, the sun will truly enter a Solar Minimum around the 2015/16 Winter season, and have strong probability to-be-deep within a solar minimum during the 2016/17, 2017/18, 2018/19, 2019/20, & 2020/21 Winter seasons... following this highly cyclical cycle!</span></span></span><br />
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New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-77304341794505926342015-01-24T17:41:00.003-05:002020-11-21T13:49:10.831-05:00FINAL THOUGHTS ON THE 2014/15 WINTER SEASON!<div class="_5pbx userContent" data-ft="{"tn":"K"}" style="font-family: Helvetica, Arial, 'lucida grande', tahoma, verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 1.38; overflow: hidden;">
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<span style="color: white;">Originally prepared: January 14-15, 2015 (Facebook timeline-post) </span><br />
<span style="color: white;">A further in-depth look at the 2014/15 Winter Season! Well, changes are... and certainly have occurred. The image below (although-not-current) depicts - MAJOR - changes that have occurred with the 500-millibar Height Pattern over North America (and the Northern Hemisphere as-a-whole). What has happened? The most noteworthy change from December is-with-the Polar Vortex (PV), itself. The polar vortex is an intense (cold) upper-level low pressure system that originates over the Arctic / North Pole, and this-is-where the PV stayed for most of December. However, through poleward stratospheric changes "warming"... the PV SPLIT into two (2) separate lobes and dropped south, with one lobe falling over North America, and the other over Eurasia. Through these changes, the pole moderates... as "Blocking High Pressure" becomes established across northern latitudes (i.e. Arctic Oscillation "AO" becomes increasingly negative), ejecting the upper-level low pressure system from the Gulf of Alaska & replacing-it with intensifying High Pressure (notice the greenish shade toward the Gulf of Alaska on-the-image, indicating moderating anomalies, which is a significant change from December). It's very IMPORTANT to understand that during most of-the-classic old fashioned winter's experienced in New England during the 1950's, 60's, & 70's the PV almost always split... if this doesn't take place, you end-up with a longwave weather pattern similar to-that-of December 2014, "progressive", which was experienced through most-of-the absent winter's of-the-1990's! Now that the PV has split, what will happen? The 500-millibar Height Pattern is-open to configure itself to repeat the 1950's, 60's, & 70's all-over-again... and will attempt to do just that on-or-about January 21st, before this time frame there will be a temporary moderation... indicating <i>CHANGE</i>. What does this mean? We have now certainly experienced the "cold" but have yet to combine that with true snowstorms (Nor'easters)... on-or-about this date (1/21) is when all-the-elements have the potential to-come-together (i.e. North Atlantic Oscillation "NAO" also becomes negative), thus "blocking" / lifting the jet-stream up along the U.S. Eastern seaboard, promoting East coast cyclogenesis. This change will make run at balancing the December blowtorch, as January 2015 should average "at least" 1-2° below normal in-temperature, however beyond this... with the exception of a brief mild spell around the second week-of-February, both February & March 2015 have a strong probability of averaging below normal in-temperature, considering the above-said-factors. In closing, the Winter Season of 2014/15 has strong potential of averaging slightly below normal in-temperature overall, with above normal snowfall through much-of-New England. What is average snowfall? For example: ADAMS / NORTH ADAMS - 78.1" average annual snowfall. Winter 2014/15: potential 100.0"+ for-the-season as-a-whole. BOSTON - around 43.0" average annual snowfall. Winter 2014/15: potential 50.0"+ for-the-season as-a-whole.</span></div>
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New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com9tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-18050954908769047192013-12-23T22:03:00.001-05:002020-11-21T13:49:49.279-05:00DECEMBER 23, 2013: WHERE IS THE NAO HEADED?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: x-large;"><b><i>official product of... <span style="color: blue;">New England NAO</span></i></b></span></td></tr>
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.sprd2.gif">NAO GEFS Index Forecast - December 23, 2013</a></td></tr>
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<span style="background-color: black; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: white;">The</span><b><span style="color: white;"> </span><span style="color: orange;">North Atlantic Oscillation</span><span style="color: white;"> (</span><span style="color: orange;">NAO</span><span style="color: white;">)</span></b></span><br />
<span style="background-color: black;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: white;">GFS </span><span style="color: #666666;">MRF</span><span style="color: white;"> Ensemble Indice Forecast</span></strong><span style="color: white;"> from</span></span></span><br />
<span style="background-color: black;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/teleconnections.shtml" style="color: white;">NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC)</a><span style="color: white;"> is </span><i style="color: white; font-weight: bold;">currently </i><span style="color: white; font-weight: bold;">weakly</span><span style="color: #cccccc; font-weight: bold;"> </span><span style="color: orange;"><i><b>Positive</b></i></span><em style="color: white;"><span style="color: white;">.</span></em><span style="color: white;"> The GFS Ensemble Indice Forecast indicates that the NAO will be </span><span style="color: white;">very weakly Positive December 24-27.</span><em style="color: white;"> </em><span style="color: white;">The Ensemble Indice Forecast indicates the NAO will be</span><span style="color: white;"> <i>neutral</i> to very weakly Negative December 28-31. The GEFS later indicates that the NAO will trend weakly Negative January 1-7. The NAO will then trend <i>neutral</i> to weakly Positive January 8-15.</span></span></span><br />
<span style="background-color: black;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: white;">The </span><span style="color: orange;"><b>NAO</b></span><span style="color: white; font-weight: bold;"> </span><span style="color: #666666; font-weight: bold;">Operational</span><span style="color: white; font-weight: bold;"> GFS Indice Forecast</span><span style="color: white;"> from CPC is also </span><em style="color: white; font-weight: bold;">currently </em><span style="color: white; font-weight: bold;">weakly</span><em style="color: white; font-weight: bold;"> </em><em><span style="color: orange;"><b>Positive</b></span></em><span style="color: white;"><em>. </em></span></span></span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The GFS Indice Forecast indicates that the NAO will be </span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">very weakly Positive December 24-27.</span><em style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </em><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The Operational Indice Forecast indicates the NAO will be</span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> <i>neutral</i> to very weakly Negative December 28-31. The GFS later indicates that the NAO will trend weakly Negative Ja</span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">nuary 1-7. </span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The NAO will then trend </span><i style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">neutral</i><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> to weakly Positive January 8-15.</span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> </span><em style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </em><br />
<strong style="background-color: black; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"><span style="color: #444444;">NOTE: Indice Forecasts have been <i>modified</i>, due to Forecaster's understanding of the <i>current Longwave pattern</i>.</span></strong><br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.sprd2.gif"><img alt=" AO GEFS Index Forecast - December 23, 2013" border="0" height="169" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgI7ndpvKMvW_znL9H8bLRrSau51GJttNmDoLvJkCq6TyJXxVOPQOHlSyABYMXQDK04EYc92tU6u49hcWLJ_PTp2urIz5lgDvx8AtDGtwUz_DpXKTz_DSXvxAT2pqlkQ6gcpjFO7io8LjQ/s1600/AO_GEFS_Forecast_-_December_23_2013.gif" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.sprd2.gif">AO GEFS Index Forecast - December 23, 2013</a></td></tr>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: white;">The </span><b><span style="color: red;">Arctic Oscillation</span><span style="color: white;"> (</span><span style="color: red;">AO</span><span style="color: white;">)</span></b></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: black;"><strong style="color: white;">GFS </strong><strong><span style="color: #666666;">MRF</span></strong><strong style="color: white;"> Ensemble Indice Forecast</strong><span style="color: white;"> from CPC is </span><em style="color: white; font-weight: bold;">currently moderately </em><em><span style="color: red;"><b>Positive</b></span></em><span style="color: #999999;"><span style="color: white;"><em>. </em></span></span></span></span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The GFS Ensemble Indice Forecast indicates that the AO will be </span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">very weakly Positive December 24-27.</span><em style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </em><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The Ensemble Indice Forecast indicates the AO will be</span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> <i>neutral</i> to weakly Negative December 28-31. The GEFS later indicates that the AO will trend increasingly Negative January 1-7. </span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The AO will then trend </span><i style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">neutral</i><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> to increasingly Positive January 8-15.</span><em style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </em><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial";"><span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: white;">The</span><span style="color: #999999;"> </span><span style="color: red;"><b>AO</b></span><span style="color: white; font-weight: bold;"> </span><span style="color: #666666; font-weight: bold;">Operational</span><span style="color: white; font-weight: bold;"> GFS Indice Forecast</span><span style="color: white;"> from CPC is </span><i style="color: white; font-weight: bold;">currently </i><span style="color: white; font-weight: bold;"><i>moderately</i></span><i><b> </b><span style="color: red;"><b>Positive</b></span></i><span style="color: white;"><em>. </em></span></span></span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The GFS Indice Forecast indicates that the AO will be </span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">very weakly Positive December 24-27.</span><em style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </em><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The Operational Indice Forecast indicates the AO will be</span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> <i>neutral</i> to weakly Negative December 28-31. The GFS later indicates that the AO will trend increasingly Negative January 1-7. </span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The AO will then trend </span><i style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">neutral</i><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> to increasingly Positive January 8-15.</span><em style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </em><br />
<span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: #444444; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong>NOTE: Indice Forecasts have been <i>modified</i>, due to Forecaster's understanding of the <i>current Longwave pattern</i>.</strong></span></span><br />
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.sprd2.gif">PNA GEFS Index Forecast - December 23, 2013</a></td></tr>
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<span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The </span><b><span style="background-color: black; color: #cccccc; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Pacific-North American Oscillation</span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> (</span><span style="background-color: black; color: #cccccc; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">PNA</span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">)</span></b><br />
<span style="background-color: black;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong style="color: white;">GFS </strong><strong><span style="color: #666666;">MRF</span></strong><strong style="color: white;"> Ensemble Indice Forecast</strong><span style="color: white;"> from CPC is </span><i style="color: white; font-weight: bold;">currently </i><i><span style="color: #cccccc;"><b>neutral</b></span></i></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #999999;"><span style="color: white;"><em>. </em></span></span></span></span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The GFS Ensemble Indice Forecast indicates that the PNA will be neutral to </span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">very weakly Positive December 24-27.</span><em style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </em><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The Ensemble Indice Forecast indicates the PNA will be</span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> weakly Positive December 28-31. The GEFS later indicates that the PNA will trend increasingly Positive January 1-7. </span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The PNA will then trend </span><i style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">neutral</i><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> to weakly Negative January 8-15.</span><em style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </em><br />
<span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: white;">The </span><span style="color: #cccccc;"><b>PNA</b></span><span style="color: white; font-weight: bold;"> </span><strong><span style="color: #666666;">Operational</span></strong><strong style="color: white;"> GFS Indice Forecast</strong><span style="color: white;"> from CPC is </span><i style="color: white; font-weight: bold;">currently </i><i><span style="color: #cccccc;"><b>neutral</b></span></i><span style="color: white;"><em>. </em></span></span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The GFS Indice Forecast indicates that the PNA will be neutral to </span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">very weakly Positive December 24-27.</span><em style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </em><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The Operational Indice Forecast indicates the PNA will be</span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> weakly Positive December 28-31. The GFS later indicates that the PNA will trend increasingly Positive January 1-7. </span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The PNA will then trend </span><i style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">neutral</i><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> to weakly Negative January 8-15.</span><em style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </em><br />
<span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: #444444; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong>NOTE: Indice Forecasts have been <i>modified</i>, due to Forecaster's understanding of the <i>current Longwave pattern</i>.</strong></span></span><br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiH6Y_1IcSLC8xSFKQkFNnIyUlk9xjK6Vd1Dy0rNrRFg16PUZepTzAEJsxJxbRQEHFOlOTDqF3NacUG9KHkO4SlBoCkysgWu0e23jpEfntkBSo2_xJkltc03Vt5gX1Lol0OfQGxwMLqSow/s1600/EPO_WPO_GEFS_Forecast_-_December_23_2013.gif" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="179" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiH6Y_1IcSLC8xSFKQkFNnIyUlk9xjK6Vd1Dy0rNrRFg16PUZepTzAEJsxJxbRQEHFOlOTDqF3NacUG9KHkO4SlBoCkysgWu0e23jpEfntkBSo2_xJkltc03Vt5gX1Lol0OfQGxwMLqSow/s320/EPO_WPO_GEFS_Forecast_-_December_23_2013.gif" width="320" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><a href="ftp://ftp.cdc.noaa.gov/Public/gbates/reforecast2/teleconn/4panel.png">WPO & EPO GEFS Index Forecast - December 23, 2013</a></td></tr>
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<span style="background-color: black; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: white;">The </span><b><span style="color: cyan;">Eastern Pacific Oscillation</span><span style="color: white;"> (</span><span style="color: cyan;">EPO</span><span style="color: white;">)</span></b></span><br />
<span style="background-color: black; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: white;">GFS </span><span style="color: #666666;">MRF</span><span style="color: white;"> Ensemble Indice Forecast</span></strong><span style="color: white;"> from</span></span><br />
<span style="background-color: black; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><a href="http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/forecasts/teleconn/" style="color: white;">NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory (Physical Sciences Division)</a><span style="color: white;"> and NCEP, is </span><i style="color: white; font-weight: bold;">currently weakly </i><i><span style="color: cyan;"><b>Negative</b></span></i></span><span style="background-color: black; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: white;"><em>.</em></span><span style="color: white;"> The GFS </span><span style="color: white;">Ensemble Indice Forecast indicates that the EPO will be weakly Negative December 24-26</span><span style="color: white;">. This indice forecast then indicates that the EPO will be increasingly Negative December 28-31. The GEFS later indicates that the EPO will trend weakly Negative January 1-6. The EPO will then trend <i>neutral</i> to weakly Positive January 7-13.</span></span><br />
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<span style="background-color: black;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: white;">The </span><b><span style="color: blue;">Western Pacific Oscillation</span><span style="color: white;"> (</span><span style="color: blue;">WPO</span><span style="color: white;">)</span></b></span></span><br />
<span style="background-color: black;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong style="color: white;">GFS </strong><strong><span style="color: #666666;">MRF</span></strong><strong style="color: white;"> Ensemble Indice Forecast</strong><span style="color: white;"> from NOAA's ESRL/PSD and NCEP, is </span><em style="color: white; font-weight: bold;">currently </em><span style="color: white; font-weight: bold;">moderately</span><em><b> </b><span style="color: blue;"><b>Negative</b></span></em><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><em>. </em></span></span></span></span><span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The GFS Ensemble Indice Forecast indicates that the WPO will be moderately Negative December 24-26</span><span style="color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">. This indice forecast then indicates that the WPO will be increasingly Negative December 28-31. The GEFS later indicates that the WPO will trend weakly Negative January 1-6. </span></span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The WPO will then trend <i>neutral</i> to weakly Positive January 7-13.</span><em style="color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </em><br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><span style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/aao/aao.sprd2.gif"><img border="0" height="168" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhgtYNlY5XafCqtIVlDUbiTweFf7lIs8jqGOM1k4vDXALXN4McbQKubKZK6quCCsMaRvggRXjwrUU72ejO_8gK6VPY5ncZGopZ0nDz2JZN9R_2qnByTr0t7OYeEAkC0KgSuahqE03m43wk/s1600/AAO_GEFS_Forecast_-_December_23_2013.gif" width="400" /></a></span></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/aao/aao.sprd2.gif">AAO GEFS Index Forecast - December 23, 2013</a></td></tr>
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<span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><br /></span></span><br />
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<span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><br /></span></span><span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The </span><b><span style="color: #cccccc; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Antarctic Oscillation</span><span style="color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> (</span><span style="color: #cccccc; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">AAO</span><span style="color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">)</span></b></span><br />
<span style="background-color: black;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong style="color: white;">GFS </strong><strong><span style="color: #666666;">MRF</span></strong><strong style="color: white;"> Ensemble Indice Forecast</strong><span style="color: white;"> from CPC is </span><strong style="color: white;"><em>currently</em></strong><span style="color: white;"> </span><i><span style="color: #cccccc;"><b>neutral</b></span></i><span style="color: orange;"><span style="color: white;"><em>. </em></span></span></span></span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The GFS Ensemble Indice Forecast indicates that the AAO will be <i>neutral</i></span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> December 24-27.</span><em style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </em><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The Ensemble Indice Forecast indicates the AAO will be</span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> <i>neutral</i> to weakly Negative December 28-31. The GEFS later indicates that the AAO will trend increasingly Negative January 1-7. </span><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The AAO will then trend </span><i style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">neutral</i><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> to increasingly Positive January 8-15.</span><em style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </em><em style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </em><br />
<span style="background-color: black; font-family: "arial";"><span style="color: #444444; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong>NOTE: Indice Forecasts have been <i>modified</i>, due to Forecaster's understanding of the <i>current</i> <i>Longwave pattern</i>.</strong></span></span><br />
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<span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: white;"><em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong>Indice Forecasts are for</strong> <strong>Extended & Long Range Guidance only</strong>, and are not meant to be taken verbatim. Please consult NWS Albany, N. Y. / NWS Taunton, or the NWSFO covering your region... for official short-term regional zone forecasts.</span></em></span></span><br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhpVWsp6U67yDW6M6Kmio1fFb2cjZ88vZcxMDQd7ppNO86-A3WyJ2MStV5L97e-QoVRuAAy0dpP2dOMLfo5TWoZwXbZsonCJvEBJjKG-i1lcsfXgqt1Ecj7V4bj941O6u8YbeJ7VYWQAKI/s1600/New_England_NAO_Arrows_favicon_large.ico" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhpVWsp6U67yDW6M6Kmio1fFb2cjZ88vZcxMDQd7ppNO86-A3WyJ2MStV5L97e-QoVRuAAy0dpP2dOMLfo5TWoZwXbZsonCJvEBJjKG-i1lcsfXgqt1Ecj7V4bj941O6u8YbeJ7VYWQAKI/s1600/New_England_NAO_Arrows_favicon_large.ico" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: large;">EXTENDED OUTLOOK:</span><br /><span style="color: #014421; font-size: x-large;">MERRY</span></span><span style="font-size: x-large;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> </span><span style="color: #660000; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">CHRISTMAS!</span></span></b></td></tr>
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<i>Thoughts to keep-in-mind, the overall <b>December "transition"</b> discussed in the </i><br />
<i><a href="http://www.newengland-nao.com/2013/11/thoughts-on-201314-winter-season.html">2013/14 Winter Outlook</a>... is well-under-way. Established <b>High Latitude <a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/block.shtml">Blocking</a></b> episodes appear eminent as we enter <b>January 2014</b>!</i><br />
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<i><b>Updated</b>: January 2, 2014<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4xKN0Wp1pmMrpgQtFLvGX3pXAIGIw_bHnpbOwQcC8RlGJOfNPTPTdAuVgI865s4BjwztRe9ro9h8nDfBV4QfB7-M0r6iQ7ZYuGlrY9oX5tR1aEjmeYP-KiJtNhxs2WJEMtx4mbZjOgq0/s1600/WPO_GFS_Index_Forecast_-_January_2_2014.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj4xKN0Wp1pmMrpgQtFLvGX3pXAIGIw_bHnpbOwQcC8RlGJOfNPTPTdAuVgI865s4BjwztRe9ro9h8nDfBV4QfB7-M0r6iQ7ZYuGlrY9oX5tR1aEjmeYP-KiJtNhxs2WJEMtx4mbZjOgq0/s640/WPO_GFS_Index_Forecast_-_January_2_2014.gif" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">WPO GEFS Index Forecast - January 2, 2014<br />
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<b><i><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">WHAT CAUSED THE PAST WINTER BLAST! </span> </i></b></td></tr>
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<i>As discussed in the </i><i><a href="http://www.newengland-nao.com/2013/11/thoughts-on-201314-winter-season.html">2013/14 Winter Outlook</a>, it was very clear that a <b>resurgence in</b> <b>Solar Activity due to increased sunspots on the magnetically </b></i><i><b>active solar disk </b>in </i><br />
<i>mid-to-late October... was responsible for the transition to an overwhelmingly </i><br />
<i>Positive Phase of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) & </i><br />
<i>North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) from the beginning-of-November through most </i><br />
<i>all-of-December. However, there was a real Winter blast for much-of-the first half of December that led to a coastal storm on Saturday, December 14, 2013. It is very important to note that while the AO & NAO did not favor such amplification of the 500-millibar Height Pattern, the </i><br />
<i><b>Western Pacific Oscillation (WPO)</b> above, and <b>Eastern Pacific Oscillation (EPO)</b> where predominantly <b>Negative </b>(circled-in-black above)<b> from mid-to-late November through mid December. </b>This meant that cold air was tapped and drawn southeast from North-central Canada, due to an expanding area of High pressure over the Gulf of Alaska. The WPO / EPO are highly influenced by the </i><br />
<i>Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)... which became slightly Positive during the Fall, meaning that Pacific Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies are warmer than normal, encouraging Blocking over the eastern Pacific. </i><br />
<i>The -WPO / -EPO pattern collapsed due to lack-of-Teleconnection support in association to changes with the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO)... as the enhanced area of tropical convection over the equatorial Pacific entered Phase 5-6, collapsing the ridge of High pressure over the eastern Pacific, which strongly encouraged the true effects of an overwhelmingly </i><br />
<i>+AO / +NAO signature as New England experienced a classic blow-torch from December 20-23, 2013. Of interest, while the WPO & EPO where initially Positive from late October into the beginning of November... which was the peak-of-sunspot resurgence, the AO & NAO remained Positive beyond, due to extreme sensitivity to solar activity. </i>The <i>more active the sun</i>, the <i>more of a driver it is</i>... influencing the Earth's <i>stratosphere (poleward)</i>, where pronounced <i>cooling</i> occurs. Therefore, the orientation of the jet-stream keeps the <i>heart</i> of the <i>Polar Vortex (PV)</i> at the<br />
North Pole...<br />
encouraging an overall <i>progressive</i> pattern <i>(with short-lived shots of cold air)</i> in middle latitudes with a highly <i>Positive Phase of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and </i><br />
<i>North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)</i>.<br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: x-large;"><b>PUNCH 1! BEGINNING OF CHANGE...</b></span><br />
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">GFS 1000-500 hPa Thickness - January 2, 2014</td></tr>
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<i><b>Current</b> 1000-500 hPa Thickness show a positively-tilt trough over the </i><br />
<i>Mid-Atlantic, with a defined Polar Vortex (PV) (circled-in-white) over Quebec... marking the transition to a Negative Arctic Oscillation (AO). However, much of the southeastern United States... especially Florida, is experiencing above normal temperatures due to the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) only falling to around neutral. The neutral NAO allows for the southeast ridge to maintain it's identity, and in-return promotes a <b>significant moderation</b> for New England <b>in-advance of Arctic fronts</b>... <b>due to a strong south-southwest flow</b> in-advance of the frontal passage. This, for example, will occur on Monday, January, 6th. Aside from this, the period of January 3-10 will feature below to well below normal temperatures overall... with moderate-to-high potential of Miller Type B coastal storm development. This period will mark the true <b>beginning of </b>the Winter<b> change</b>, especially with the </i><br />
<i><b>Arctic Oscillation (AO)</b>.</i><br />
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="font-size: 13px;"><b><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">LONG RANGE THOUGHTS:</span></b></td></tr>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><b>THE SUN & SOLAR CYCLE 24...</b></span><br />
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">NASA Solar Activity as of January 2, 2014<br />
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<i><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">While <b>Solar Activity</b>, in-terms of active <b>sunspots</b>, has lessened since November 2013... the extreme western quadrant of the <b>sun</b> remains active. Most of the solar disk, however, is becoming quiet or falling-to-sleep... which is important for sustained High Latitude Blocking episodes, and will be a significant factor in-the-years-to-come. It is very important to remember, <span style="text-align: "start";">on </span><span style="text-align: "start";">January 4, 2008</span><span style="text-align: "start";"> we entered </span><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cycle_24" style="text-align: "start";">Solar Cycle 24</a><span style="text-align: "start";">. While </span><span style="text-align: "start";">Solar Cycle 23</span><span style="text-align: "start";"> was highly active </span></span></i><br />
<i><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="text-align: "start";">in-terms of sunspot activity, Solar Cycle 24</span> is trending much-less-active (as seen above)... especially since the actual observed Solar Maximum in 2011/12. Had this sunspot activity took place a decade ago, the out-come on the overall 500-millibar Height Pattern in the Northern Hemisphere... would have had a far greater impact. </span></i><br />
<i><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">*A note to viewers, the Fall 2013 resurgence in sunspot activity should NOT be confused with the </span></i><br />
<i><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">2011/12 Solar Maximum... as there is no comparison in the amount of UV Rays that hit the Earth now, in-contrast to then. Which is (in-part) why we will be experiencing the </span></i><br />
<i><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">PUNCH-of-Winter!</span></i><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><b>MJO & BRIEF THAW... PATTERN RELOAD</b></span><br />
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="font-size: 13px;">MJO GEFS Forecast - January 2, 2014</td></tr>
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<i><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Madden Julian Oscillation (<b>MJO</b>) will emerge in Phase 6, from neutral over the western Pacific during the next 7-10 Days. This will play a role in temporarily shifting the ridge/trough axis over the eastern Pacific, encouraging a +WPO / +EPO / -PNA influence, promoting the return to a +AO / +NAO Teleconnection January 11-18. During this period there will be a "<b>January Thaw</b>", temperatures will rise to above-to-much-above normal levels <b>brief</b>ly along with increased risk of rainfall. This will be due to the shifting ridge/trough axis encouraging a southerly flow at all levels of the atmosphere in </span></i><br />
<i><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">New England, as the AO & NAO return Positive.</span></i><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: x-large;"><b>PUNCH 2! COMPLETE TRANSITION...</b></span></td></tr>
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">NAO GFS Index Forecast - January 2, 2014</td></tr>
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<i> The combined influence of significantly reduced sunspot activity... encouraging pronounced High Latitude Blocking as downward propagation of Poleward </i><br />
<i><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudden_stratospheric_warming"><b>Sudden</b> <b>Stratospheric Warming (SSW)</b></a> reacts, along with the continued forward propagating Phase 6-7 Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) influence over the western Pacific, will <b>reload</b> the 500-millibar Height <b>Pattern</b>. This, however, will be a <b>complete</b> pattern <b>transition</b>... where a highly amplified -WPO / -EPO / +PNA Teleconnection, will drive a classic </i><br />
<i>-AO / <b>-NAO</b> couplet over eastern North America as the Polar Vortex (PV) returns to east-central Canada around January 20-22. </i><i></i><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: black; color: white;"><span style="color: red;">Prepared</span> <span style="color: red;">by:</span><em><strong> Daniel <span style="color: blue;">Viens</span></strong></em></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: black; color: white;"><em><strong><span style="color: blue;"><br /></span></strong></em></span></span>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong>New England NAO</strong> <strong><span style="font-size: x-small;">APP.</span> - application available as a convenience to</strong></span><br />
<span style="color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><b><span style="background-color: black;"><i>Android Smartphone</i> users on the <i><a href="https://play.google.com/store/search?q=new+england+nao">Google Play</a> Market</i>.</span></b></span><br />
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<tr><td><span style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><a href="http://www.newengland-nao.com/2011/01/this-blog-is-under-construction.html"><img border="0" height="148" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj0xlLFX0wbA3KQ7PMY7rBhwjMvA5YALLYJh3ogz4KB9tVvktJozq2Lf71FeLvROGk0O9_J7vtsFS1etf5pl2reiYo_cTmF56l3YnIWvghJ-DaS3wGr8ePTR4yjnYmtFZU9Nh2Y11Z2F-0/s200/What_is_the_North_Atlantic_Oscillation_IV.bmp" width="200" /></a></span></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="font-size: 13px;"><h2>
<span style="color: blue; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><a href="http://www.newengland-nao.com/2011/01/this-blog-is-under-construction.html">What is the North Atlantic Oscillation?</a></span></h2>
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New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-35623723947906958732013-11-19T20:55:00.002-05:002020-11-21T13:50:16.135-05:00THOUGHTS ON THE 2013/14 WINTER SEASON!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjeABu_j2U5XBQO_mwQHF5Pqsq7O-Qa8HXn2WR6NmVvJvgCGNtMoUDODgPBK_zRQ3psHvn_c5DshoeACIxhdqZ34tefrklgT9Jd80Ltl3CZHly8ezxtH1jcMrY8tuWHXSw6t9UMNYnjyR8/s1600/Solar_Disk_Activity_November_19_2013.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjeABu_j2U5XBQO_mwQHF5Pqsq7O-Qa8HXn2WR6NmVvJvgCGNtMoUDODgPBK_zRQ3psHvn_c5DshoeACIxhdqZ34tefrklgT9Jd80Ltl3CZHly8ezxtH1jcMrY8tuWHXSw6t9UMNYnjyR8/s1600/Solar_Disk_Activity_November_19_2013.gif" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">NASA Solar Activity as of November 19, 2013</td></tr>
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<i><b>Solar Activity</b></i>, while mentioned by few professionals concerning <i>Winter Outlooks</i>... is <i>one-of-the most important factors shaping this upcoming Winter season, it is what I call the <b>foundation</b>. </i>The <i>above</i> image of the <i>solar disk from NASA on November 19, 2013</i>, shows<i> 4-active sunspot regions</i> in-general <i>(circled-in-black)</i> on the sun. The <i>sunspot region</i> toward the <i>center of the solar disk</i>, <i>is most active</i>... <i><u>however all circled sunspot regions have-to-be-watched</u></i>. Of note, during a <i>Solar Minimum, </i>the solar disk would be virtually free of sunspot activity... as we head toward <i>2016</i>, the above image will be <i>less-of-a-factor</i>. <i>Sunspots </i>have a direct relation to <i>High Latitude <a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/block.shtml">Blocking</a></i> episodes, due to the entrapment of heat through <i>UV Rays</i>... promoting increased <i>ozone</i> formation. The <i>more active the sun</i>, the <i>more of a driver it is</i>... influencing the Earth's <i><b>stratosphere</b> (poleward)</i>, where pronounced <i><b>cooling</b></i> occurs. Therefore, the orientation of the jet-stream keeps the <i>heart</i> of the <i>Polar Vortex (PV)</i> at the North Pole...<br />
encouraging an overall <i>progressive</i> pattern <i>(with short-lived shots of cold air)</i> in middle latitudes with a highly <i>Positive Phase of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and </i><br />
<i>North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)</i>. As a result, the weather pattern experienced in middle latitudes, is an overall milder, dryer pattern... which is a signature of increased solar activity, especially during a <i>Solar Maximum</i>.<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjesVOnwTSHPUgu6RaOp9jaudNOcLVnw8ZxQf2troRar0B8CVqAoZvtGbGamoU6HHYdkbB5HTKkDNmWEtD2WKWG7WTeYFH6pL5hR0eO8rmxRme9thpz_aDQMwE71jhamoAcmmLP0G0Qht0/s1600/Arctic_Oscillation_November_19_2013.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjesVOnwTSHPUgu6RaOp9jaudNOcLVnw8ZxQf2troRar0B8CVqAoZvtGbGamoU6HHYdkbB5HTKkDNmWEtD2WKWG7WTeYFH6pL5hR0eO8rmxRme9thpz_aDQMwE71jhamoAcmmLP0G0Qht0/s1600/Arctic_Oscillation_November_19_2013.gif" height="142" width="320" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">AO GEFS Index Forecast - November 19, 2013</td></tr>
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Looking at the <i>Arctic Oscillation (AO) Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) forecast</i>, <i>shows true signs of solar influence</i>. Within the area <i>circled-in-red, </i>the <i>AO Index</i> has been averaging around +3.0 <i>Standard Deviation (SD) above normal-mean</i>... from extreme late October to mid-November. During this time period there was also a pronounced <i>resurgence in sunspot activity</i>, which is clearly observed with this <i>classic +AO signature</i>.<br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjc6haj9cvzLiKsP3LaTrliNHYojldDEwcDrvJblerXYvx4KikGr7tOrIb9asx_o6tTjn4pcfRkHhlJqg5bo7eVrxC37bJnIW9DwMLUgKK_MaFi739Gk1WJZtKqFjaG_k0km5KH-Kzk6m8/s1600/Solar_Cycle_Progression_November_4_2013.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjc6haj9cvzLiKsP3LaTrliNHYojldDEwcDrvJblerXYvx4KikGr7tOrIb9asx_o6tTjn4pcfRkHhlJqg5bo7eVrxC37bJnIW9DwMLUgKK_MaFi739Gk1WJZtKqFjaG_k0km5KH-Kzk6m8/s640/Solar_Cycle_Progression_November_4_2013.gif" height="497" width="640" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">SWPC Solar Cycle Progression as of November 4, 2013</td></tr>
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<i>Viewers of this site </i>understood that a <i>Solar Maximum</i> was experienced during <i>2011/12 & 2001/02</i>... following the 9-11 year <i><b><a href="http://istp.gsfc.nasa.gov/earthmag/sunspots.htm">Schwabe Cycle</a></b>, </i>which averages to be exactly every <i>10.66 years</i> that a solar maximum is observed.<i> </i>However, following this cycle also <i>hints</i> at a resurgence of solar activity about 2 years after the actual observed maximum... this occurred in <i>2003/04</i> <i>(which highly influenced that Winter season)</i> now were 2 years after the maximum again, with another resurgence in sunspot activity. In posts I published during the <i>2012/13 Winter Season</i>, I wrote about a return to the <i>classic old-fashioned New England Winter's</i> (as experienced throughout most of the 1960's & 70's) from <i>2016 through 2020</i>. I stated this with a strong understanding that this period will be the start of a <i>Solar Minimum</i> (which will strongly encourage <i>High Latitude Blocking</i> episodes due to a non-active solar influence), following the <i>Schwabe Cycle</i>. But, there is also another important factor to strongly consider...<br />
on <i>January 4, 2008</i> we entered <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cycle_24"><i>Solar Cycle 24</i></a>. While <i>Solar Cycle 23</i> was highly active in-terms of sunspot activity, especially before the observed minimum in <i>2006</i> <i>(as seen on the SWPC image above)</i>, <i>Solar Cycle 24</i> has paled in-comparison. This is a highly important factor, that will also have <i>a significant influence over the next decade+</i>... <i>considering that the actual solar cycle is about <a href="http://zebu.uoregon.edu/~soper/Sun/cycle.html">22 years</a> long</i>.<br />
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<i>My thoughts for the 2013/14 Winter Season</i>: Due to a resurgence in solar activity, <i>it's critical in how active the sun remains</i>. However, I will clearly state that seeing the actual <i>Solar Maximum</i> was observed in <i>2011/12</i>... <i>I certainly believe that it won't be as mild as that Winter</i>. In fact, if you follow the <i>Schwabe Cycle</i> closely... this resurgence in active sunspots should be short-lived. Taking this strongly into consideration, I feel the potential is strong for established <i>High Latitude Blocking</i> episodes from January through March. December is critical, but will more than likely be a <i>period of transition</i>... as the <i>current</i> solar activity will be less of a factor on the overall <i>500-millibar Height Pattern</i>.<br />
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<i>Now that I presented the <b>foundation</b></i>, I am going to <i>link</i> to <a href="http://www.nynjpaweather.com/winter-forecast-for-20132014/"><b>NY NJ PA</b> <b>Weather</b></a> for the finer details on the <b>Winter Forecast for 2013/2014</b>... <i>which is the best seasonal outlook I have ever read</i>.<br />
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<b>New England NAO</b><i> will continue to-be-updated through the Winter season</i>.New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-50336505005197360992012-01-28T17:18:00.554-05:002020-11-21T13:51:41.495-05:00HAPPY BIRTHDAY NEW ENGLAND NAO!<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhg6d-o069BebnG5c2y3t_Hy3H4XkYf3y_jLbd-fT47U4k3PRC80DyUvv4exDkxIvPCQLMN-HnfaFTQTgPrgK0diMPrwVedKafemajqupNnycBAFd5ZyNMvSl-BGawc7ZAicTDfTBG8ab8/s1600/New_England_NAO_Happy_Birthday.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="258" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhg6d-o069BebnG5c2y3t_Hy3H4XkYf3y_jLbd-fT47U4k3PRC80DyUvv4exDkxIvPCQLMN-HnfaFTQTgPrgK0diMPrwVedKafemajqupNnycBAFd5ZyNMvSl-BGawc7ZAicTDfTBG8ab8/s320/New_England_NAO_Happy_Birthday.png" width="320" /></a></div>
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<em>On this <strong>one-year-anniversary</strong> of <strong><span style="color: blue;">New England NAO</span></strong>... </em><br />
<em>I thought I would reflect back a-year-ago, to-the-<strong>beginning. </strong>This site in many ways was something that I had always wanted to see to some level, I can remember <strong>Googling</strong> phrases related to New England & the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)... but very few sites directly connected the overall NAO influence to New England. The sites that were of interest to me, were quite informative, but what I was really looking for was the <strong>interpretation of Indice Forecasts</strong>... <strong>&</strong> their overall effect on the </em><br />
<em><strong>New England Region.</strong> I decided to take that idea into consideration... while posting as a member of Todd Gross' NE-Weather Spotter Network in 2002. I really enjoyed posting on Todd Gross' weather spotter site, and intend to continue to be a member of his established weather enthusiast community. However, it didn't seem proper to post about Indice Forecasts in times of tranquil conditions, especially during the warm season... so I would mainly post in-advance of significant pattern changes during the Winter season. For this reason, I came to realize that I needed a place of my own to truly express my thoughts... which is why I established </em><br />
<em><strong>New England NAO</strong>. Presently, since the establishment of the site, I have only been updating continuously during the Winter... but I may update year-round as the site continues to grow. </em></div>
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<em> Even though I am not a professional meteorologist, I have learned a lot about meteorology in general from my close friends who work professionally as meteorologists (John Hockridge, meteorologist & owner of </em><br />
<em><strong><a href="http://www.newenglandweather.com/">New England Weather Associates</a></strong> </em><br />
<em>& George Trottier, senior forecaster formerly of WNAW 1230 A.M. N. Adams, MA.)... and through my own self-taught research. Because of the increasing popularity of the site... I started a general form of consulting, <strong>explaining</strong> <strong>to the public</strong>, the upcoming effects the Indice Forecasts would have on the New England Region. This was aired as a radio-spot known as </em><br />
<em><span style="color: blue;"><strong>New England</strong> </span><strong><span style="color: blue;">NAO </span></strong>(November 2011 to July 2012) on </em><a href="http://www.wbrk.com/"><em><strong>WBRK</strong></em> <em>(<strong>Inc</strong>.)</em></a><em> </em><br />
<em><strong>1340 A.M.</strong> Pittsfield, MA. </em><br />
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<em>(For more information on </em><br />
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<em><strong><span style="color: blue;">New England NAO</span> official products... </strong>please see</em><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-weight: bold;"><span style="color: red;">NE-NAO</span> <span style="color: blue;">-</span> </span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><a href="http://www.newengland-nao.com/2011/04/ne-nao-weekly-indice-review-legend.html"><b>Legend</b></a></span><em>)</em> </div>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.newengland-nao.com/2011/04/ne-nao-weekly-indice-review-legend.html" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; cssfloat: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEisWtm95t-OE0pWA4XwgUQ8vyUkRfn_rOjBFUzOweMAsfS1vHfJmPsjtB_GjK4SZjNy9bQp36ZSJ51bpRxKWRdThRVCAWnX1ERzG8x4360PPdm2yZJF_la3R4qj232MfvuqxObC4MJVKTg/s320/New_England_NAO_Region.jpg" uda="true" width="256" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.newengland-nao.com/2011/04/ne-nao-weekly-indice-review-legend.html"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>Or click the </em><strong><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">LEGEND</span></strong><em>...</em> </span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: large;"><em>Above</em><em> </em></span></span></a><br />
<a href="http://www.newengland-nao.com/2011/04/ne-nao-weekly-indice-review-legend.html"></a></td></tr>
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<div style="border: currentColor;">
<em> Since the Beginning, <strong>New England & the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)</strong>, now commonly known as simply </em><br />
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<em><strong><span style="color: blue;">New England NAO</span></strong>...<strong> </strong>has continued to grow through reflection of it's purpose. The site has generated a theme through the help of <a href="http://www.dreamstime.com/">Dreamstime.com</a> & LogoSnap.com, plus a large part of artistic talent from myself, as author of New England NAO. </em></div>
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<em><b>NEW!</b> <a href="https://www.logopony.com/">Logopony</a> (a new Al-powered logo maker website). </em></div>
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<em> </em><i><span style="font-size: x-small;">The </span></i><em>Theme of <strong><span style="color: blue;">New England NAO</span></strong>:</em><br />
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<em><strong> <span style="color: red;">1.</span> Page <span style="color: blue;">Design</span></strong></em><br />
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<em> </em></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOLvFdw9ZpLpkB_sTd9aUKEpVDNaYuEoYi-e9WgEWCX7hc5VTvmqLKhSjVJP28HYD0JVLZn-9O_EuR6TO7TDZuFvgaYXhoa7rPhIdiRacD6HbVlcgaEP18XQjpMv_Zjr1IOj2OpwCGQSA/s1600/New_England_NAO_Arctic_4.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; cssfloat: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="131" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgOLvFdw9ZpLpkB_sTd9aUKEpVDNaYuEoYi-e9WgEWCX7hc5VTvmqLKhSjVJP28HYD0JVLZn-9O_EuR6TO7TDZuFvgaYXhoa7rPhIdiRacD6HbVlcgaEP18XQjpMv_Zjr1IOj2OpwCGQSA/s200/New_England_NAO_Arctic_4.jpg" width="200" /></a></div>
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<em>A. The title background theme was an exclusive image from Dreamstime.com, it is a view of the Arctic Ocean near the North Pole... the image is representative of an area where the heart of high latitude blocking originates in respect to the Negative Phase of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) & Negative Phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). *(The newly designed <strong>Main_Title logo </strong>now replaces this background theme... which strongly promotes the site.) </em></div>
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<em><strong> </strong></em></div>
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<em>B. The general page background theme was an exclusive template </em><em>by </em><a href="http://www.istockphoto.com/googleimages.php?id=2597369&platform=blogger&langregion=en"><em>Airyelf</em></a><em> through blogger.com. </em><em>This general page background theme was changed on November 14, 2012, to the exclusive New_England_NAO_Red_White_&_Blue_Sky template... which strongly blends all the elements on the site.</em></div>
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<em><strong><span style="color: red;">2.</span> Page <span style="color: blue;">Logos</span></strong> (all custom logos are designed by the author of New England NAO through LogoSnap.com) There are two standard logos and one variation... as well as other featured logos designed by the author. </em></div>
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left; margin-right: 1em; text-align: left;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbSiaMin3bnQHWgcm-M9hp7wfBGVCAKlkdHEdgNlWZRCfnvk0nvFYLdUu2266p4csWyRrpVVtqr8n22P3j9m_AIkpLYAzKQHLP4T3OpnM2JWIssH-lOepN_ZYCuIYc1qYAvddQLbTdIok/s1600/New_England_NAO_2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; cssfloat: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="88" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbSiaMin3bnQHWgcm-M9hp7wfBGVCAKlkdHEdgNlWZRCfnvk0nvFYLdUu2266p4csWyRrpVVtqr8n22P3j9m_AIkpLYAzKQHLP4T3OpnM2JWIssH-lOepN_ZYCuIYc1qYAvddQLbTdIok/s200/New_England_NAO_2.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"> A. This <strong>original standard logo </strong>features a true standard blue & red title, the rising arrow is deep red & the falling arrow is deep blue. </span></em></td></tr>
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left; margin-right: 1em; text-align: left;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhOO32gViwwrXqWsoBWd9AHCeCGKDbMF5cXcivij8WrcIcdjGPbBghjRCki9aNMiIsZkoNMysnajDfATJWbKPhBdFAJtsfQ81NOu6bWkRHvgbRdePYDnenpe44MQzOOrED2JogcqJT2ZcM/s1600/New_England_NAO_3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; cssfloat: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="85" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhOO32gViwwrXqWsoBWd9AHCeCGKDbMF5cXcivij8WrcIcdjGPbBghjRCki9aNMiIsZkoNMysnajDfATJWbKPhBdFAJtsfQ81NOu6bWkRHvgbRdePYDnenpe44MQzOOrED2JogcqJT2ZcM/s200/New_England_NAO_3.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"> B. This <strong>second</strong> <strong>standard logo </strong>features a true standard blue & red title, the rising arrow is also standard red & the falling arrow is standard blue.</span></em></td></tr>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><i> </i></span><br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_ONgodvLmL3gEaj69YB1I-cMWoLQJtpY5cmOl3uBai9TRbr9Glf2iApOG9UE7uEHiS89amW1OWpxu-C-pQR3tXfv0i_duSZ_itWXWbI58yXPr8VXs7QpzNI-b6y_HE1C8Br3ab44sThw/s1600/New_England_NAO_BSM.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="81" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_ONgodvLmL3gEaj69YB1I-cMWoLQJtpY5cmOl3uBai9TRbr9Glf2iApOG9UE7uEHiS89amW1OWpxu-C-pQR3tXfv0i_duSZ_itWXWbI58yXPr8VXs7QpzNI-b6y_HE1C8Br3ab44sThw/s200/New_England_NAO_BSM.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"> C. This <strong>third variant logo </strong>features a true standard blue title only, both the rising & falling arrows are also standard blue.</span></em><br />
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<strong><em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: x-large;"><span style="color: red;">3.</span> Featured <span style="color: blue;">Images</span></span></em></strong><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhe_2gQ8uxiYIlyZQ6iVob9vaWPqnUdmrIsZGWGMFJOIbr5W9PDU3KRN2QwNr8P7-UuRhfbyg0LH2X9JCjR2B5MZcZ6kC26bP-czHOzvZWEFFUkLjqTQbbjo2-fs4Ci3TH4OHvgOitFceE/s1600/New_England_NAO_Four_Seasons_2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; cssfloat: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="112" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhe_2gQ8uxiYIlyZQ6iVob9vaWPqnUdmrIsZGWGMFJOIbr5W9PDU3KRN2QwNr8P7-UuRhfbyg0LH2X9JCjR2B5MZcZ6kC26bP-czHOzvZWEFFUkLjqTQbbjo2-fs4Ci3TH4OHvgOitFceE/s200/New_England_NAO_Four_Seasons_2.jpg" width="200" /></a><br />
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<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">A. This exclusive photo from Dreamstime.com is representative of New England's Four Seasons, expressing each seasons touch as experienced in New England.</span></em><br />
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<span style="color: navy; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: x-large;"><b>INC. OCTOBER 15, 1778</b></span></td></tr>
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<tr><td><a href="http://town.adams.ma.us/Public_Documents/indexold"> <img alt="" border="50" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiERIOYJWy7Vas6BoF6t2xLJOYTXtozMhkI9obHWHQhLruCngU50eWhgpGx50_gR4bNzCTiK10THhBxaJMFrgtOHoO5FswXpzWjF4gRyNmJ6tRzlzn_ueh8C3CvgOZjRmJ3W-U5zIUrmeE/s1600/Entering_Inc._1778_Adams+III_standard.gif" /></a><img src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgf4G8ZHPCKt40puvYZDaVtWlbGt5Ake1tiCiyQtFlmt6JbLgiOtTSmVffVmsAMKFxf09QGlHYAvuqdmWSjkOqUMPUr99tpogOYBfI8HjG6IdR4pwjkjt9zjrL6mATBNAWxWgRZAXBsQJM/s1600/Legend_for_Navigation.gif" /></td></tr>
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<b><span style="color: maroon; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: x-large;">TOWN LINE</span></b></center>
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<b><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="color: maroon; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">www.newengland-nao.com</span><i style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </i></span></b></center>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><b><i>Image courtesy of <a href="http://www.whitesummercreations.com/">WhiteSummerCreations.com</a></i></b></span></center>
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<b style="background-color: black; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;"><span style="color: navy;"><span style="font-size: x-large;">ADAMS,</span><span style="font-size: x-small;"> </span><span style="font-size: large;">MASSACHUSETTS</span></span></b></center>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: 13px; text-align: -webkit-center;"><b><span style="color: blue;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></span></b></span></center>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgVMs53o46_L9UtgHZp68Qydv67k2bWEGjmbQ0Fd4U2hWBSRm3wzBLt0AY4QpMZesSG8A6XitEBE75OS1KzLZntkfZn7Uwk-u3TnZFOgQk85hJZpZP4c9LxJrfBPKNeKAPXpzUg5GD84t8/s1600/Welcome+To+Adams.bmp" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgVMs53o46_L9UtgHZp68Qydv67k2bWEGjmbQ0Fd4U2hWBSRm3wzBLt0AY4QpMZesSG8A6XitEBE75OS1KzLZntkfZn7Uwk-u3TnZFOgQk85hJZpZP4c9LxJrfBPKNeKAPXpzUg5GD84t8/s1600/Welcome+To+Adams.bmp" width="200" /></a></div>
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<i style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: x-large;"> </i></center>
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<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: x-large;"><b><span style="color: gold;">Home of Mt. Greylock </span><span style="background-color: black;"><span style="color: white;">Summit</span></span></b></span></em></center>
<span style="color: #f1c232; font-size: x-large;"><b><em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> </span></em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><i> </i></span></b></span><br />
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<span style="color: gold; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: x-large;"><i><b>
Birthplace of Susan B. Anthony</b></i></span></center>
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</i></span><em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"> </span></em><br />
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHTnes-1PngOAGA88tJ-soFB3tPtir3Gt1lUUXJItFyxSgD1FlGGEWiJuT2w_VIpeWfsN79zKbvQNE3T_Xj-6wTAhbL3sN__1dCaPa9OhoLsTM-Vi8ut7CiNAs2bAmo_5OaBRRldW3344/s1600/New_England_NAO_Massachusetts_War_Memorial_Tower.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHTnes-1PngOAGA88tJ-soFB3tPtir3Gt1lUUXJItFyxSgD1FlGGEWiJuT2w_VIpeWfsN79zKbvQNE3T_Xj-6wTAhbL3sN__1dCaPa9OhoLsTM-Vi8ut7CiNAs2bAmo_5OaBRRldW3344/s320/New_England_NAO_Massachusetts_War_Memorial_Tower.jpg" width="240" /></a></div>
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">B. Photo taken by the author of <b>New England NAO</b></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"> on December 12, 2012, is of the </span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><b>Massachusetts</b> Veterans <b>War Memorial Tower</b> </span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">(Mt. Greylock Summit 3,491 FT.) Adams, MA., which crowns the Commonwealth's Highest Peak. Please visit the Massachusetts Department of Conservation and Recreation,</span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">for more information on </span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><b><a href="https://superhotel7.com/mount-greylock-state-reservation/">Mt. Greylock State Reservation</a></b>.</span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></em>
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"> </span></em><br />
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<tr><td class="tr-caption"><span style="color: navy; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: x-large;"><b>INC. APRIL 16, 1878</b></span></td></tr>
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<tr><td><a href="http://www.northadams-ma.gov/"><img alt="" border="50" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBtiMW7IbCZFzKjhQ0oO17zbjj9SByCvuVMEqyM_36oNPwrqqyuc-z7YJ-NX5I1-8sVqzG5DpuwxKZfh4BffqNgZn5qFpk7gE8KsMO_csODqyZ63QhYsb5I0gx0yJp2TPZHUYQqjE6h8s/s1600/Entering_Inc._1878_North_Adams+II_standard_II.gif" /></a><img src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgf4G8ZHPCKt40puvYZDaVtWlbGt5Ake1tiCiyQtFlmt6JbLgiOtTSmVffVmsAMKFxf09QGlHYAvuqdmWSjkOqUMPUr99tpogOYBfI8HjG6IdR4pwjkjt9zjrL6mATBNAWxWgRZAXBsQJM/s1600/Legend_for_Navigation.gif" /></td></tr>
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<b><span style="color: maroon; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: x-large;">CITY LINE</span></b></center>
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<b><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="color: maroon; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">www.newengland-nao.com</span><i style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> </i></span></b></center>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><b><i>Image courtesy of <a href="http://www.whitesummercreations.com/">WhiteSummerCreations.com</a></i></b></span></center>
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<b style="background-color: black; font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;"><span style="color: navy; font-size: large;">NORTH ADAMS, MASSACHUSETTS</span></b></center>
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<span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><b><br /></b></span></span></center>
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<span style="background-color: black; color: white;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: x-large;"><b><i>We Hold The Western Gateway</i></b></span></span></center>
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<span style="background-color: black; color: white;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: 13px;"><b><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></span></span></center>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJ5ktPg1IYtr3KfMA-FUzcEXhIogJHCiZoWJFD2YTcNM1Awa4otK0Cm89oKD1TbSkxVOCJ7ckRch_wxuN3nIH6q_qC1wbarhHvHL2nkOcrs0Q7avfYz3eO66M9q8jMNfYSEEhAGWRAqKY/s1600/New_England_NAO_Hoosac_Tunnel.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; cssfloat: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="240" sda="true" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJ5ktPg1IYtr3KfMA-FUzcEXhIogJHCiZoWJFD2YTcNM1Awa4otK0Cm89oKD1TbSkxVOCJ7ckRch_wxuN3nIH6q_qC1wbarhHvHL2nkOcrs0Q7avfYz3eO66M9q8jMNfYSEEhAGWRAqKY/s320/New_England_NAO_Hoosac_Tunnel.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><em>C. Photo taken by the author of </em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><em><strong>New England NAO</strong> </em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><em>on March 18, 2009, is of </em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><em>the</em></span><br />
<em style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: x-large;"><strong>HOOSAC </strong>TUNNEL </em><br />
<em style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: x-large;">(West Portal)</em><br />
<em style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: x-large;">North Adams, MA. </em><br />
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">(pronounced Hoosic),</span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"> </span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">where I live <u>very close</u> to.</span></em><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><em>My 4-year-old nephew (at-the-time of picture) Dominick, of Savoy, MA. is standing at the entrance to the portal. </em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><em> The photo is representative of what could be known unofficially as western Massachusetts' Big Dig... of it's time</em>, <em>due to cost and length of time in-construction--from 1850 - 1874. Also, the lives of 195 miners were lost during the time of construction... making this railroad landmark historically significant to the Commonwealth & New England. From the West Portal in </em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><em>N. Adams, MA. through to the East Portal in Florida, MA. (at the Deerfield River), is a total length of 4.74 miles. For complete information on the <strong>HOOSAC</strong> <strong>TUNNEL</strong>, please visit </em></span><a href="http://hoosactunnel.net/"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><em><strong>HoosacTunnel.net</strong></em></span></a><em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">. For more information on the New England region (& government entities) please visit </span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><strong><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_England_town">New England Town</a></strong>... defined by Wikipedia, the free online encyclopedia.</span> </em><br />
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<strong><em><span style="color: red;">4.</span> The <span style="color: blue;">Beginning</span></em></strong><br />
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<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">On Thursday, January 27, 2011<em> </em></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>New England NAO </em>appeared on a simple blogger.com Awesome Inc. Template under the title: </span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em><strong>New England & the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)</strong></em></span></span><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em><strong><br /></strong></em></span></span>
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The purpose of <strong><span style="color: blue;">New England NAO </span>(<span style="color: red;">NE</span><span style="color: red;">-NAO</span>)</strong>... <strong><span style="color: red;">established January 27, 2011</span> </strong></span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">is to educate and inform the public of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO); by examining current trends and indice forecasts that will impact the New England region.</span></em><br />
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<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">On <strong>Christmas </strong>Day, <strong>December 25, 2011</strong>,</span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: blue;">New England NAO </span></strong>became a <strong><span style="color: blue;">Memorial Blog</span> </strong>to the</span></em><br />
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong>New England Region. </strong>Dedicated in loving memory of my cousin... <strong>Peter </strong>Christopher<strong> Rowley</strong> (1961 - 2011) formerly of Pittsfield, MA., who recognized my true purpose in-life and was taken from us so soon.</span></em><br />
<span style="font-size: large;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em><strong><br /></strong></em></span></span>
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Prepared by :<em style="font-weight: bold;"> Daniel <span style="color: #999999;">Viens</span></em></div>
New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-45013044673390742892012-01-15T07:54:00.003-05:002012-01-16T18:24:28.598-05:00Long Range Weather Forecast for the US<div class="uawbyline" style="font-style: italic;">By Ivor Goligher</div><br />
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<div class="uawarticle">In other countries, weather conditions can easily be determined. However, in the US, it may be a difficult task. The reason for this is mainly the US is a big country, and it is divided into a lot of different regions. There may be some things that are similar with different areas. For example, areas in the upper part of the country is likely to have a cold and wet climate, while the lower part cooler but still comfortable. Generally, this can be said however, due to the different phenomena happening in our world, it is difficult to determine what the weather is going to be like.<br />
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There are already a lot of natural disasters that may affect the long term weather forecast in the US. One would be the recent volcano activity around the world. The very strong and destructive earthquake that hit Japan this year also affects the global weather. Also, the earthquake in Indonesia a few years ago has changed the rotation of the earth slightly. These tragedies may be small but it can bring large amounts of impact to the world and may be factors to change in weather on the long run.<br />
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Consider when a volcano eruption occurs. During an eruption, a volcano releases a huge amount of hot, molten lava and spurts ashes into the air. Those ashes are not gone in just one day. While they exist, they can affect clouds and cloud formation, possibly increasing or decreasing the amount of precipitation that the cloud can give off. Even disasters that are not natural may still have an effect on the environment. Nuclear power plants that may have been leaking or blown up may cause disastrous changes to the environment.<br />
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The next step is to make sure that your property is in general good condition. If your building is in a bad way any problems could become dangerous during extreme weather. After you've sorted out your quotes for property insurance you should thoroughly check your building for things like:<br />
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* Loose tiles * Weak mortar on the property's roof * Broken brickwork on the chimney * Dodgy roof stacks * Corroded nails * Unstable brickwork * Overgrown trees near the building * Weak fences * Rickey satellite dishes and aerials<br />
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Ash and dust introduced into the atmosphere by volcanic eruptions can lower the earths surface temperatures by reducing the amount of sunlight that reaches the earth. There are many other variables in producing the weather you experience.<br />
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While you cannot control the weather you can be prepared for it. Listen to your local forecast when threatening weather is possible especially if you are planning on travelling. Have a emergency kit in your car at all times and use common sense before heading out into inclement weather.<br />
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<div class="uawresource"><br />
<div class="uawabout" style="font-style: italic;"><br />
About the Author:</div><br />
<div class="uawlinks"><a href="http://www.the-dui-lawyers-attorney.com/">DUI Attorney</a> and the Field Sobriety Testing How Do I Find a <a href="http://www.criminalduilawyerfreeconsultation.com/">Criminal DUI Attorney</a>?</div><br />
</div>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-70603923168362771682011-04-30T15:09:00.000-04:002011-04-30T15:09:22.452-04:00Home Weather Stations: Solution to Sudden Weather Changes<div class="uawbyline" style="font-style: italic;">By Mildred R. Gatewood</div><br />
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<div class="uawarticle">At some point in our lives we probably have experienced our plan getting ruined by sudden change of the weather, like, going out for a date at the beach. You have carefully planned the things to bring and wear for that date the night before. The next day, the sky's clear and the sun shines brightly in the horizon. You even checked weather updates on the internet to make sure your day will be perfect. You arrived at the beach and you haven't spent five minutes basking in the sand and enjoying the sun, the sky started to get dark and it began to drizzle. Soon, the heavy rain poured. So much for your perfect day, isn't it?<br />
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This kind of situation is common. People believe the weather reports and predictions of the day and end up getting unpleasant surprises that destroy their plans. So, what can be the done to avoid such situations? How will you get ahead of the weather and make alternative plans? What you will need is a weather station at home.<br />
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Weather is somehow localized. This means that changes in weather sometimes occur in short distances. Like when travelling to another city, it is somehow normal to experience rain in one area and then just few miles ahead, the sky is clear. This is the reason why plans of most people are ruined by the weather because it changes unpredictably.<br />
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Improbability of the weather can be decreased once you have your own weather station. You can now plan your daily activities without worrying about the weather. Such equipment can be installed in the house and still give you correct weather details outside.<br />
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It will be such a great help if you get to know the condition of the weather for the day. Through this you will be aware if your plan to have a picnic at the park few blocks away from your house will be a great idea for the day.<br />
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Nowadays, there are a lot of home weather stations that you can find in the market. All you need to do is choose the kind of station that suits your weather update needs and your budget. For beginners, wireless weather station is good for you do not have to worry about the cables and tripping accidents.<br />
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These weather devices are meant to record the wind's direction and strength, rainfall, temperature and humidity. Back in the old times, people make use of analog thermometer and rain gauge to predict the weather. They are somehow inaccurate because telling the weather relies on the person reading the instruments' eyesight and his capacity to read and interpret the details from them. Today, weather stations are digitalized which lessen the human error and effort.<br />
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Wireless weather stations come with sensors that help the gadget give the reading. To make it work, the range of the sensors should be enough. Moreover, these sensors must not also be blocked or obstructed by houses, trees or buildings. <br />
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If you are sick and tired of making guesses and predictions of the weather, then buy your very own weather station today. With that little equipment, it will be unnecessary to open your computer to check the weather news or turn on the TV for weather updates because you can instantly determine the weather condition for the day since you already have a weather station inside the house with sensors just right at your backyard.<br />
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<div class="uawresource"><br />
<div class="uawabout" style="font-style: italic;"><br />
About the Author:</div><br />
<div class="uawlinks">Try to get ahead of the weather by having your own weather station at home that in other language like German is called <a href="http://www.funkwetterstation-info.de/">Funkwetterstation</a> which is the same as <a href="http://www.funkwetterstation-info.de/funkwetterstation-nexus/funkwetterstation-nexus.html">Funkwetterstation Nexus</a>.</div><br />
</div>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-88968821777702384292011-04-02T17:17:00.055-04:002020-11-21T13:53:33.250-05:00NE-NAO - WEEKLY INDICE REVIEW - Legend<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b><i><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: x-large;">official product of... <span style="color: blue;">New England NAO</span></span></i></b></td></tr>
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<em style="color: blue; font-size: x-large;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: black; font-size: small;">consists of two-parts:</span></span></strong></span></em><br />
<em style="color: blue; font-size: x-large;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: black; font-size: small;"><br /></span></span></strong></span></em>
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong> 1. <span style="font-size: large;">ANALYSIS<em> -</em></span></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>an analyzation of the </em><b>NAO, AO, & PNA GEFS & <span style="color: #444444;">Operational</span> GFS</b><em style="font-weight: bold;"> Teleconnection Indice Forecasts </em>from<em style="font-weight: bold;"> </em><b>NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC).</b><em style="font-weight: bold;"> </em><em>The</em><em style="font-weight: bold;"> </em><b>EPO & WPO GEFS</b><em style="font-weight: bold;"> Teleconnection Indice Forecasts </em>from<em style="font-weight: bold;"> </em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong>NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory (Physical Sciences Division) </strong></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><b>(ESRL/PSD) & NCEP</b><em style="font-weight: bold;">... </em><i>are also included, as well as the</i><em style="font-weight: bold;"> </em><b>AAO GEFS</b><em style="font-weight: bold;"> Indice Forecast </em>from<em style="font-weight: bold;"> </em><b>CPC</b><em style="font-weight: bold;">. </em><em>Each Indice Forecast includes an analyzation of current deviation from normal-mean through use of a color-scale, which is meant to provide a better understanding of "current" trends with each indice.</em></span><br />
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<strong><span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em> </em>2. <span style="font-size: large;">INTERPRETATION <em>-</em></span></span></strong><br />
<span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><i>an interpretive overview from the author's understanding of the</i><em style="font-weight: bold;"> </em><span style="font-weight: bold;">Analysis</span><em style="font-weight: bold;">, </em><i>which is made-up of</i><em style="font-weight: bold;"> </em></span><br />
<span style="background-color: black; color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em style="font-weight: bold;"></em><span style="font-weight: bold;">two-subparts:</span><b> </b></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">A. EXTENDED OUTLOOK</span><br />
<strong><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"></span></strong><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">B. LONG RANGE THOUGHTS</span><br />
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh7xtz24kYQAsJReANmANdTstdNI7uZiV4gxN4UhBECONpZ5v_1RnrFEpRpuW9x8BjfkpErj19RTqwbEJEyNr-rHZQPQ3z8JR4lMOYEjMi626pUtGfLQ6NMfpFpzk1x9Wj9HEUPTlpSDtE/s320/New_England_NAO_Region.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh7xtz24kYQAsJReANmANdTstdNI7uZiV4gxN4UhBECONpZ5v_1RnrFEpRpuW9x8BjfkpErj19RTqwbEJEyNr-rHZQPQ3z8JR4lMOYEjMi626pUtGfLQ6NMfpFpzk1x9Wj9HEUPTlpSDtE/s640/New_England_NAO_Region.jpg" width="512" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">New England (NAO) Region - Massachusetts, Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, Connecticut, & Rhode Island</td></tr>
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</span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong>3.</strong><em><strong> </strong>This<strong> </strong></em><strong>LEGEND</strong><em> is to provide the viewer with a better understanding of </em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em><strong>color-scale</strong> used during updates of </em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">The<strong><em> </em></strong><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong><em><span style="color: red;">NE-NAO</span><span style="color: white;"> -</span></em></strong><span style="color: blue;"><strong><em> WEEKLY INDICE REVIEW</em></strong> </span></span><strong><em>:</em></strong></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><br />
<span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: black;"><strong><em><span style="color: #cccccc;">neutral</span></em></strong> - demonstrates a <strong><em>zonal </em></strong></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">or de-amplified pattern.</span><br />
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<strong><span style="color: cyan;">North Atlantic Oscillation</span> (<span style="color: cyan;">NAO</span>)</strong> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">- This <em><strong>light blue</strong></em> <em>(aqua)</em> shade demonstrates a <strong>very weakly</strong> or <strong>weakly </strong></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: cyan;"><em><strong>Negative NAO</strong><span style="color: white;">,</span></em></span><span style="color: white;"> </span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">-0.1 Standard Deviation (SD) to -1.5.</span><br />
<span style="color: #999999;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>This color-scale would also apply to other Teleconnection indices of this deviation from normal-mean. </em></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em><strong></strong></em></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: blue;">Arctic Oscillation</span> (<span style="color: blue;">AO</span>)</strong> - This <em>true<strong> standard blue</strong></em> shade demonstrates a <strong>moderately, strongly, </strong>or<strong> extremely </strong><span style="color: blue;"><em><strong>Negative AO</strong><span style="color: white;">,</span></em></span> -2.0 Standard Deviation (SD) and greater. </span><br />
<span style="color: #999999;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>This color-scale would also apply to other Teleconnection indices of this deviation from normal-mean.</em></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: orange;">Pacific-North American Oscillation</span> (<span style="color: orange;">PNA</span>)</strong> - This<em><strong> orange</strong></em> shade demonstrates a <strong>very weakly</strong> or <strong>weakly </strong></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em><strong><span style="color: orange;">Positive </span><span style="color: orange;">PNA</span></strong><span style="color: white;">,</span></em> +0.1 Standard Deviation (SD) to +1.5. </span><br />
<span style="color: #999999;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>This color-scale would also apply to other Teleconnection indices of this deviation from normal-mean.</em></span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;">Eastern Pacific Oscillation</span> (<span style="color: red;">EPO</span>)</strong> - This <em>true <strong>standard red</strong></em> shade demonstrates a <strong>moderately, strongly, </strong>or<strong> extremely </strong><em><strong><span style="color: red;">Positive </span><span style="color: red;">EPO</span></strong><span style="color: white;">,</span></em><span style="color: black;"> </span>+2.0 Standard Deviation (SD) and greater. </span><br />
<span style="color: #999999;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em>This color-scale would also apply to other Teleconnection indices of this deviation from normal-mean.</em></span></span>
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<br /><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> <strong>4.<em> <span style="color: blue;">New England NAO</span></em></strong><em> <strong>(<span style="color: red;">NE-NAO</span>) common abbreviations & contractions used:</strong></em></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><b>A.</b> <span style="color: blue; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold;">-NAO</span><i style="font-weight: bold;"> - demonstrates a general </i><span style="color: blue; font-style: italic; font-weight: bold;">Negative Phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)</span><i style="font-weight: bold;"> pattern... this contraction would also apply to other teleconnection indices when applicable, such as: </i></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">
<em><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: blue;"><strong>-AO</strong><span style="color: white;">,</span><strong> -</strong></span><span style="color: blue;"><strong>PNA</strong><span style="color: white;">,</span><strong> -EPO</strong><span style="color: white;">,</span><strong> -WPO</strong><span style="color: white;">,</span> <span style="color: white;">&</span><strong> -AAO</strong></span><span style="color: white;">. </span></span></em><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><b>B.</b> <em style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="color: red;">+NAO</span> - </em><strong><em>demonstrates a general <span style="color: red;">Positive Phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)</span> pattern... this contraction would also apply to other teleconnection indices when applicable, such as: </em></strong></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><em><span style="color: red;"><strong>+AO</strong><span style="color: white;">,</span><strong> +PNA</strong><span style="color: white;">,</span><strong> +EPO</strong><span style="color: white;">,</span><strong> +WPO</strong><span style="color: white;">,</span><strong> </strong><span style="color: white;">&</span><strong> +AAO</strong></span><span style="color: white;">.</span></em></span></span><br />
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<a href="http://www.newengland-nao.com/2011/01/this-blog-is-under-construction.html"><img border="0" data-original-height="28" data-original-width="28" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgfp-zeW8hX1jONctX8KNWpqqqVu20Oy1c6smpZggCAkjsFk789nFUwdSOgMhqYIMy7Q_d1wJihLCVWcaBJJ_xIXuoT3ZBNHKBClh_FvEQNYvCHD7IbfFeOdszb47bbU2Unb0iy4YZW-uc/s1600/New_England_NAO.gif" /></a> <a href="http://www.newengland-nao.com/2011/01/this-blog-is-under-construction.html"><b>What is the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)?</b></a></div>
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New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-74819941557940258572011-03-08T16:52:00.000-05:002011-03-08T16:52:29.766-05:00The Advantages Of An Electronic Rain Gauge<div class="uawbyline" style="font-style: italic;">By Ned Dagostino</div><br />
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<div class="uawarticle">It's not just for measuring rainfall, an electronic rain gauge is much more. We all, both adults and children, tend to be fascinated by weather. This gauge will fuel that fascination. Your portable weather station will not be complete without it, and when it comes to learning, it is a great tool.<br />
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Ok, you built a new rain gauge for your kid or, even saw your kid make it, but how accurate is that? It certainly can't beat the electronic rain gauge in accuracy as well as professionalism! These are ideal instruments for a school and seats of learning and education. Therefore, the wise thing is to go for an electronic rain gauge. Hands on experience of these weather analysis instruments helps build up a better understanding of how weather works and various weather patterns.<br />
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And advances features are also available. For instance you can not only measure the precipitation, but also spillage on some models. It is, without a doubt, a must have tool for everyone from the weather fanatic to those with just a casual interest in the weather who like to keep an eye on what's happening. And if you've got a portable weather station, simply measuring wind speed and the heat index is not enough. Rainfall measurement is an important parameter as well.<br />
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Here is another interesting and yet common use. Some people like to use weather gadgets as part of their home decor. Yes it's also about making your home look nice as well as for educational and hobby purposes.<br />
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Home gardeners also can make good use of an electronic rain gauge. For starters, armed with this information you'll know more about your soil patterns. Plus knowing how much it rained is important to determine how much water you need to add, if any. This is true for a master gardener or someone with a small vegetable garden in their back yard.<br />
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When picking your gauge, try to choose one with a wireless data transmission base. After all, you don't want to have to go outside on a stormy night to get and record your data. Not only will you stay dry, but a wireless base will stream real time live data right into your home. You'll get precipitation totals and current temperatures if you have the unit set up within a few hundred feet of your home.<br />
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A newer version electronic rain gauge has other functions such as temperature and humidity measurement sensors. Buy these only if you don't have other instruments already taking these measurements.<br />
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Sure you can set up a standard rain measurement gauge in your yard, but it won't be nearly as accurate as an electronic rain gauge. It also won't record and track the data for you. If you are a serious weather fanatic, or just need the information to make sure your yard or garden are getting the proper amount of water, an electronic gauge is by far your best option.<br />
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<div class="uawlinks">To find out additional information about how an <a href="http://www.electronicraingauge.net/">electronic rain gauge</a> is a vital component of your <a href="http://www.electronicraingauge.net/Wireless-Weather-Stations.html">wireless weather stations</a>, be certain to visit our website at ElectronicRainGauge.net.</div><br />
</div>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-31426891507741192902011-02-22T17:56:00.004-05:002012-11-21T12:33:40.438-05:00HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING IN-RELATION TO THE QUASI-BIENNIAL OSCILLATION (QBO)<span style="font-family: Tahoma; font-size: 10pt;"><img border="0" src="http://images.intellicast.com/App_Images/Article/223_20.jpg" title="" /></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 10pt;">The <strong>Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO)</strong> is changes in equatorial zonal wind between easterlies and westerlies in the tropical stratosphere. (Defined partially From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.) The map above from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) demonstrates Two Phases of the QBO, which are termed East QBO & West QBO. The relationship between oscillating wind regimes and High Latitude Blocking is significant, due to changes between the easterlies & westerlies. The Easterly Phase QBO encourages high latitude blocking because westerly trade winds are weaker, while the Westerly Phase is not supportive of long-term blocking due to stronger westerlies. On February 28 to March 1, 2010 a major longwave pattern change took place over the Northern Hemisphere. This major change was also associated with a change from an East QBO to West QBO, which resulted in a complete different summer pattern during 2010 in contrast to 2009. The QBO has primarily been in a <strong><em>Westerly phase</em></strong> since the beginning of last March, which in return <strong><em>discourages</em></strong> a <strong><em>long-term Negative AO & </em></strong><strong><em>NAO</em></strong> (associated with a classic old-fashioned March in New England.) </span>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-47314755075560853302011-02-19T13:10:00.000-05:002011-02-19T13:10:03.463-05:00Outdoor Survival Skills Survival Supplies, And Tips<div style='font-style:italic;' class='uawbyline'>By Ben Kingston</div><br />
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<div class='uawarticle'>With an unknown future, one must be prepared. With the collapse of world currencies and the predilection of war around the corner is daunting; the future seems up for grabs.<br />
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Look at the conditions in Europe prior to WW1. Europe was rich, it was an economic strongman. Germany was advanced culturally, relatively pacifistic and an all-around stable nation. It had a history of being less involved in war than any of the neighboring nation in Europe. This era was about to embark and keep continuing in great and noble advances for the nation and mankind. However, complete chaos broke down any chance of forward progress when Word War 1 began.<br />
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Our era is not any different. Governments are growing more fascistic, bailing out banks, seizing sectors of the economy, bailing out politically connected companies formulating unsustainable debts loads for citizens. There is a danger of mass currency collapses, a breakdown of the markets and civil unrest could lead to civil war. Also the potentiality of beginning a war is a ploy used to another way out turning a different direction. Statist powerbrokers will find an excuse, false flags, provocations, etc to force a war.<br />
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We are warned by the Discovery Channel about natural disasters originating outside the earth as well. Similarly, in case of an EMP (electromagnetic pulse) from a weaponized high-altitude electromagnetic pulse explosion, gasoline, paper money, transportation will disappear. It's bad news for pacemakers.<br />
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Non-nuclear electromagnetic pulse (NNEMP) from super solar flares from the sun and result in a geo-magnetic tempest are another probability. Computers would not work. Satellites would cease to function, no TV, radio, phones and any device, plane or car with computer chips in their system will not function. It will be every man for himself. Starvation, disease and random violence would likely claim millions of lives. A survival food supply is a fundamental necessity.<br />
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If we have a large non-nuclear electromagnetic pulse resulting from a super solar flare like the one that occurred back in 1859 (the 1859 Carrington event) , that would shut down the whole grid for quite a long time. Some estimate the damage between $1 trillion and $2 trillion in damages, and living could be terrible if in fact you were without electricity for any length of time. With survival kits to make life possible, you survive.<br />
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Prevention is better than cure. After the disaster, you'll be left short if you are not prepared. Start out with a <a href="http://www.survivalpack.org/"> survival pack</a> or storage area that contains emergency food supplies as well as water resources.<br />
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<div class='uawlinks'>Survival in the event of a disaster or complete anarchy is largely based on individual preparation and one can even order <a href="http://www.outdoorsurvivalskills.org">survival kits online</a>. Government has created a mess out of its programs. You'll need a <a href="http://www.outdoorsurvivalskills.org">survival food supply</a> and may even need to brush up on outdoor survival skills to weather any possible storm throw your way.</div><br />
</div>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-2066567317973179332011-02-17T18:15:00.000-05:002011-02-17T18:15:27.755-05:00Is Your Family Prepared For A Natural Disaster?<div class="uawbyline" style="font-style: italic;">By Bobby Ugene Johnathis</div><br />
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<div class="uawarticle">There are a lot of things in this world that are definitely dangerous. Some of these things we know little about, or when they could occur. The same is true with man made or natural disasters. These could happen at any moment and it is crucial to know some tips on preparing for a man made or natural disaster to increase the chances of your survival.<br />
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Prior to acknowledging the many different strategies to implement within your day-to-day life, you must realize that cost should not be an issue. These things are not expensive and they can be done by any average person as long as you find the best deals.<br />
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The most important item you must have is water. It is a good idea to measure out about six gallons per family member, and hold them in a specific safe location. You should also prepare this location with food. Only invest in nonperishable items such as canned goods. Just make sure you get enough and that you have the tools you need to eat.<br />
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Also, make certain you have an appropriate container for necessities. It should be made out of a thick, heavy material and waterproof. It might be a good idea to bolt this to the floor. Regardless, you will need to fill it with batteries, clothing, and flashlights; along with anything else you feel is important to have on hand.<br />
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It is also a good idea to store other important health-related items within this container. A first-aid kit containing pain relievers, headache medicine, burn ointment, Band-Aids, and gauze pads is highly suggested to have. As is medication that one of the members of your family may need. For instance, asthma medication should be held within this case.<br />
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While the entire location is prepared with items and emergency equipment, it is crucial to have access to that area. The last thing you want is to be cut off from the one area in your home that is efficiently prepared after all. To prevent this from happening, make sure you select an area that is easy to get to for the entire family and that there is no clutter in the way of it.<br />
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In terms of your family, you are going to want to ensure each and every individual knows how to use a fire extinguisher correctly. You may also want to practice with your family the process you would go through if a disaster occurred.<br />
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These catastrophes can happen at any second. Even though your home is fully prepared in the event of a natural or man made disaster, the other areas of your life are not. Take a moment to examine your workplace and research what safety precautions you can enforce there. Your car should always have a half tank of gas and be in pristine condition. Make sure you have flashlights, Band-Aids, and a first-aid kit in it.<br />
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It is important to understand these tips on preparing for a man made or natural disaster and implement them within your daily lifestyle. Such events could happen at any second and any location in the world. It is pivotal to take the correct precautions necessary and ensure you and your family is safe.<br />
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<div class="uawlinks"><a href="http://survivalpreparednessblog.com/earthquake-preparedness-earthquake-kits">Earthquake preparedness</a> is a vital part of living in an earthquake prone area. Storing water, food and other items may mean the difference in being a refugee or a victim. Plan accordingly so that you do not become another statistic. <a href="http://hubpages.com/hub/7-Survivalist-Foods-Every-Family-Should-Stock-Up-On">Survival food</a> is a cheap and readily available to all.. Free reprint available from: <a href="http://uberarticles.com/news-and-society/is-your-family-prepared-for-a-natural-disaster">Is Your Family Prepared For A Natural Disaster?</a>.</div><br />
</div>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5931524174081889043.post-30339102898081322652011-02-15T20:37:00.000-05:002011-02-15T20:37:45.562-05:00Do You Know The Difference Between Weather And Climate?<div class="uawbyline" style="font-style: italic;">By Andreas Sosadi</div><br />
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<div class="uawarticle">What's the difference between weather and climate? And why is it important to you?<br />
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You may not think about it, but weather and climate have a huge bearing on how we live. Here is an overview of how weather and climate work.<br />
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We humans want to understand how the world works. We have always watched weather conditions, the day-to-day temperature, pressure and precipitation changes. As we compared those conditions over long periods of time (that is, more than 30 years), we establish the climate, the average conditions for that region: temperature, pressure, precipitation, amount of sunshine and cloud, wind speed and direction etc.<br />
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Many countries have weather data up to 200 years old. That may sound like a lot, but it is really miniscule when we realize that climate changes may take place over thousands of years. However, by studying such information, we now know a lot more about weather and climate.<br />
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In order to understand the data that has been collected over the years, it is important to classify it. For example, we now have established global climate zones. These are bands circling the globe based on latitude. These zones are: the Polar Regions, the high altitudes, Artic and Antarctic Circles, the middle latitudes, the low latitudes and the Tropics of Capricorn and Cancer.<br />
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Each zone has its own particular conditions, including seasonal activity and precipitation. For example, the Polar Regions have long, cold winters and summers that are only slightly warmer. However, the middle latitudes have four seasons with varying temperatures. The low latitudes are humid because they get a lot of rainfall and a lot of the sun's heat.<br />
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Each of these zones has variations within it. There may be continental and maritime regions depending on the land masses within the zones. Continental regions are those with large land masses, while maritime regions are those with large bodies of water. Such conditions affect whether a region is hotter or colder, wetter or drier than surrounding areas.<br />
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While these classifications help explain and predict weather, other factors must be taken into account. Mountains, as an example, can greatly affect weather patterns. Also, a natural catastrophe such as a volcanic eruption can change a region's climate for years to come.<br />
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By studying these classifications, we not only can predict weather, but we can also understand how to invent things to make our lives easier. By understanding wind, we were able to invent the vacuum cleaner. By understanding the electricity in storms, we were able to harness electricity for lighting and other uses.<br />
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When you stop to think about it, weather and climate are probably the most important factors in our world. Wouldn't it be wise to learn more about these subjects and understand how our world works?<br />
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<div class="uawlinks">Andreas Sosadi pens almost entirely for http://www.alicante-spain.com , a website on temperatures in malaga today and malaga temperature. On his site you can discover his comments on malaga temperature and <a href="http://www.alicante-spain.com/">past weather in malaga</a>.</div><br />
</div>New England NAOhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16720440692971698226noreply@blogger.com0